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Everything posted by Rhino16
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That was what I was wondering earlier. I guess if it’s close / uncertain enough they just do one big one.
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It’s there now. Probably easier to see it from College of duPage. I don’t understand why they kept the 5% all the way down into NC, I think even in this morning’s update, that was kinda questionable. edit: guess the sun’s been out more down there, and shear is better so it makes sense.
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Boring rain here. 75ish. I haven’t been under a thunderstorm since early/mid April.
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In the northern neck, not expecting it to make it this far. Was looking forward to tomorrow but I feel this may have tamped it down a bit. We’ll have to see. edit: ah, I see that scenario was questioned earlier too.
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I’ve been seeing a lot of those “find the ___” posts, and I’m surprised I haven’t been eaten by a snake or other creature yet. Camouflage is scary.
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This NAM run kept the look, perhaps beefier cape in spots, but that could be NAM doing NAM stuff + run to run variability. I do notice a transition to inverted V’s after 15z, but that was present before too.
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21z has almost 4000 CAPE, 54kts 0-6km shear with decent backing further east it seems, 176 3Cape, crazy stuff, but it’s the NAM, still interesting to see for now.
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I think I’m a storm repellent or something. A week before I get home, they get decent storms. After I get home, the place i left gets storms 2 days in a row. I don’t think I’ve heard thunder in a month now.
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What part isn’t working? How do you get to it when it works?
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It’s funny because the cringe-tastic dialogue is mostly stuff only weather people will cringe at. Everyone else is probably thinking: “yeah, that makes sense.”
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I’m kinda the opposite. NWS Hourly has cloud cover dropping around 9pm, and G5 is in the SWPC fcst but for midday UTC, so I might try again…
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Yay small rain coming… classic.
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My phone can see it way better than my eyes can, even if it’s a pink glow on the phone I can’t see it.
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I JUST GOT A BURST OF IT IN BLACKSBURG!
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SWPC has G3 now as the latest obs. Do we need it to be higher to see stuff or is there some sort of lag? Should I be expecting a fade in and out situation?
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swpc.noaa.gov says G5…
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I’m curious to see what happens around the 23rd-28th in the Caribbean… the GFS has been hinting at some low pressure it seems. Still a ways to go.
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Apparently they have a range that they prefer to live in and some are really stubborn and will try to find where they live again. Short distances are probably best.
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2024 Hurricane season forecast contest -- results now posted
Rhino16 replied to Roger Smith's topic in Tropical Headquarters
20/12/5 -
Hope it’s safe… https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/
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There’s simulators and stuff that play music too.
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May 2024 temperature forecast contest
Rhino16 replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.5 _ 2.0 _ 2.1 __ 0.7 _ 1.8 _ 0.6 __ 0.1 _ 1.2 _ 0.4 -
Yeah, every storm I remember has typically been small in terms of area. I guess it’s just early for us still, which checks out looking at the various NWS Past Events pages, lots of June stuff.
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