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Rhino16

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Everything posted by Rhino16

  1. Stuff on the back side definitely looks better, which to me is the important part since it’s the stuff that will stick around.
  2. Some of these shorter range models aren’t great this evening… Edit: Not including the NAM yet, still running.
  3. I am not leaving it off the table, and I certainly don’t want to wait to find out with the cold temperatures afterwards. My neighborhood roads typically hold snow for days afterwards.
  4. I’ll probably have to leave ric for this one to get back to school for something at the end of the week. I’m worried the side roads won’t be cleared in time. Kinda lame.
  5. Uh, disgusting. More torture for southern end of the group. Going to get through this first one though.
  6. I’ll pay attention to that one when the first mess leaves. anyways, I’m skipping the euro tonight. I’ll see whether I’m disappointed or not tomorrow. edit: UK was good again though
  7. Gets us 1.8” which is less than I would have thought.
  8. I would appreciate one more decent snow at home before I return to school for my final semester. Who knows where I’ll end up next winter!
  9. Yeah, it’s only been maybe a day, starting with the UKMET last night.
  10. Dangit, I told myself I would try to be consistent this year. Got busy and forgot to enter
  11. That’s just cruel… (but please… make it happen)
  12. Yup. It always weathers exactly when I really don’t need it to. Usually right before or after I leave a place. Just cursed.
  13. I’m noticing that the snowiest solution over the past few days seems to have the low further south over Oklahoma, instead of further south/west over the Texas Panhandle.
  14. 18z AIFS is a step up for precip amounts, with ≈0.8” for the richmond area, but the resolution is bad so can’t comment on temperatures, ptype, or much really. Especially without soundings.
  15. They’re only as good as the data we put in. We’re launching the same 2 weather balloons per day, and it’s the vertical data that’s tricky. I can absolutely see why the uncertainty is as high as it is at times even today.
  16. Again, the data out in the ocean isn’t really there to be fed into the models at this point. Once the energy gets over land and the models have that information down, then I’ll throw in the towel.
  17. Wasn’t the NAM really good for that one? It was consistently on an island of its own showing 10”+. Makes me want the NAM now. Definitely a good feel right now, but a little doubt too.
  18. I would find an inch to be disappointing. I’m waiting for the system to get over land / better sampling before getting disappointed though.
  19. I’m not liking this GFS run as much I don’t think. It looks further north so far. Interested to see the next few frames.
  20. I can’t even do rain in December anymore! How am I supposed to do the frozen kind?! I guess the distant thunder is fun?
  21. Seems like the line of storms will miss me in richmond. But, there maybe something interesting happening at the tail end of it.
  22. At least I have this afternoon’s severe threat to track as a distraction while waiting for 18z!
  23. Euro would hurt for the Short Pumpers and such.
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