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Rhino16

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Rhino16

  1. Rhino16
    3k NAM seems too dry? It is snowing in spots north of the nc/va line but the model doesn’t depict that at all. It’s also missing stuff in NC as well.
  2. Rhino16
    Getting flakes in the northern neck
  3. Rhino16
    -18 at Canaan NWR currently.
  4. Rhino16
    Are you getting any flakes right now? Further west seems to be. It’s weird the 3k NAM dries out so much but the other one doesn’t. I don’t know if that’s a known thing it does.
  5. Rhino16
    Hopefully we can at least cover the grass again because it’s ugly after being smushed by the glacier.
  6. Rhino16
    What’s the difference between a “first guess” and “first call”?
  7. Rhino16
    I hate sharing my thoughts, but when I do, it’s most likely to be in the warm season. I also am not confident on synoptic level stuff so I’m not great at tracking winter storms.
  8. Rhino16
    The SPC MD says 0.05-0.1”/hr. The precip ahead of it seems to have beefed up a bit too, which I don’t like. The crust is nice and shiny though!
  9. Rhino16
    Heard a scary cracking noise outside. The sky is orange I think. Still waiting on this ice squall thingy, but with 1/8” already I hope it isn’t too bad.
  10. Rhino16
    Measured 1/8” of ice here, think the temp is dropping in the area but hard to tell.
  11. Rhino16
    Decent rate freezing rain right now but it’s been fluctuating in intensity. I think temps are close to freezing but just slightly below? I woke up late so measured 1 & 1/8” of snow/sleet/ice. Local station at 30, but that’s south across the river. edit: seeing 31s pop up now so the changeover to plain rain may be close.
  12. Rhino16
    Eyeballing maybe an inch here on the coast. It must not have continued much when I went to sleep
  13. Rhino16
    Guess I’m staying up until 1 or 2 since it will flip by 4am here. Nothing falling on the drive home.
  14. Rhino16
    Some light flakes here in the southern Northern Neck
  15. Rhino16
    The sleet line looks like it’s just south of Murfreesboro, TN right now. Can’t tell if it’s slowly drifting north or just sliding east.
  16. Rhino16
    Blue is the wet bulb, very important!
  17. Rhino16
    It sucks to waste all this cold air on this. I don’t think I’ve been able to track a successful winter storm since I started having an interest in this field, so I have no clue what to look for aside from textbooks and stuff. It really helps me to have experienced it before.
  18. Rhino16
    We switch to rain here in the NNK unfortunately which hopefully doesn’t wash everything away. At least on some guidance.
  19. Rhino16
    Is that something the Conv. Allowing models will be more helpful with when they are more in range?
  20. Rhino16
    Seems better because that low stays off the NC coast a bit further. Can’t check too much because of work…
  21. Rhino16
    Looks like they just went up now!
  22. Rhino16
    I wouldn’t be surprised if this ended up as 4” otg in my yard after rain/sleet/compaction etc. I’m probably in the worst place possible moreso than Richmond even. edit: Don’t forget to have a laugh at the temperature plots for after the storm on the GFS.
  23. Rhino16
    I had to clear my cache to get the teleconnections page to work.
  24. Rhino16
    tossing some numbers out: hopefully not too late! I keep saying I’ll be consistent but maybe for real this time! DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 3.0 _ 2.3 _ 1.5 _ -0.2 _ 3.5 _ 3.5 _ -0.4 _ -0.9 _ 1.5
  25. Rhino16
    I ran through an 18” drift and exhausted myself but it was worth it
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