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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Some vbv exists in the soundings but the broad-brush potential of this event cannot be understated.
  2. crossbowftw3
    Fred Gossage is sounding alarm bells here. Knowing what other event for which he raised the alarm bells days out, that’s enough to garner attention.
  3. crossbowftw3
    Twitter, mostly, where some chasers will post their streams
  4. crossbowftw3
    Pretty substantial potential verbatim as of this moment, but vbv exists in soundings so cautiously sending out the message as of now
  5. crossbowftw3
    Keeping abreast of the developing situation for today’s event in Texas. First moderate risk of the season and a decent parameter space to back it up. We will see what happens later.
  6. crossbowftw3
    The parameter space looks good, but will cells stay discrete for long enough remains the question hrrr dews for later..healthy area of low 60s.
  7. crossbowftw3
    And I may say that the early look the models are giving paint a not-so-pretty-picture...
  8. crossbowftw3
    Watching from afar here in New York. Day 5 broad-brush 15% into the Lower Ohio Valley. The overall look is beginning to look pretty dang ugly at this range.
  9. crossbowftw3
    Potential severe event as well down south. One of perhaps multiple in the coming weeks. @weatherwiz probably has eyes on.
  10. crossbowftw3
    maybe have a gender reveal party while you're at it
  11. crossbowftw3
    Very good winter overall and those of us inland have maybe 1-2 more shots to push us AN for the season. Still wonder what could have been if the death band was 70 miles south on 12/16-17.
  12. crossbowftw3
    Suffice to say we probably have 1-2 more decent shots at topping off our snow totals for this winter before it finally begins to relent, probably in about 10 days time. Here downstate in Sullivan we still need roughly 7" to meet average, which two 3-4" events next week will suffice. Can't give a vote of confidence if we can get it right now
  13. crossbowftw3
    Probably. Maybe a few more instances of in-air flakes or a potential front-end snow barring something wildly unexpected.
  14. crossbowftw3
    We've broken winter's back but it hasn't heard no bell yet. I would still not count out at least one more modest snow event between now and the 23rd.
  15. crossbowftw3
    Status report: the snowpack has now been 100% vaporized. It had a good run but here's hoping next week can give us some more snow one last time before Winter finally does relent (probably past the 23rd?) but even then those events (3-6" at best?) are probably followed by 40s the next day that evaporate the snow anyway
  16. crossbowftw3
    Typical late season distribution of snow. The resorts would love to get another 8-10 before the end of the season.
  17. crossbowftw3
    EC implies that temperatures would then go up to at least 40 degrees for most the next day so March sun = vaporizes the snow by the middle of the day
  18. crossbowftw3
    Swath of what would definitely be advisory-level snows if it were to play out pound for pound
  19. crossbowftw3
    For all intents and purposes probably the last two events we have to 100% be concerned with. 16/17th look pretty well identical on EC to what most of our February events did with the swath of 1-6”
  20. crossbowftw3
    Which is exactly why I’m keeping shovels around for one more week, even though the much stronger sun lends itself well to rapid melting of virtually any snow now—today will be a good example of that as we start with some spotty areas around here still having full cover
  21. crossbowftw3
    1-4 with some 4-6” is a good range. If this is winter’s last gasp I’m all for it. Still need about another 7-8” to make average—funny to think again because ~65” is average for MSV, but this was a good winter regardless
  22. crossbowftw3
    So....probable advisory level snow that probably doesn’t stay around? EC has temperatures spike into the 40s and 50s for most the next day
  23. crossbowftw3
    i pity the fool if he is....but take that as an irony because I am not much older than he.
  24. crossbowftw3
    I’ll just leave this here
  25. crossbowftw3
    0z Euro not nearly as eye-popping for Colorado but rather shifts its totals into Nebraska/Wyoming:
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