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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Rather surprisingly, WWA for 3-5 in Sullivan now
  2. crossbowftw3
    Gusts 20-30 were in the forecast for today so yes
  3. crossbowftw3
    With the disclaimer that if the heavier shield comes further in we can get into 3-6*
  4. crossbowftw3
    Just the NAM really
  5. crossbowftw3
    If the precip shield can really reach this far N/W, yes, otherwise the 1-3 makes more sense
  6. crossbowftw3
    3-6 with iso 8
  7. crossbowftw3
    I'd expect OKX's WWAs to be converted to warnings and then we get some WWAs issued up here for 3-6"
  8. crossbowftw3
    I would anticipate BGM issuing advisories for Sullivan, Delaware and into Wayne/Pike PA possibly now
  9. crossbowftw3
    Looks like low-end advisory snows here. Don't mind it at all, but I want to see one more tick to get us to 3-6"
  10. crossbowftw3
    What is exactly going on here with the GFS....?
  11. crossbowftw3
    Marginal warning at that, it would still be just as possible to issue a high end WWA for 4-7. Don't like the idea overall for anything over that this far inland
  12. crossbowftw3
    that's still close to upper bound WWA for inland areas
  13. crossbowftw3
    3-6 still seems good
  14. crossbowftw3
    I know not many here would care about NASCAR but the original President’s Day blizzard did something very similar and many call it the reason it exists as it does now
  15. crossbowftw3
    Probably take a blend of NAM and (insert guidance here) to get something that’ll probably end up close to reality; hence, 2-6 with pockets of 6-10
  16. crossbowftw3
    Wide swath of 5-8 with 10” lollies scattered about for 95
  17. crossbowftw3
    If the 12z suite moves towards this solution I would believe watches would be needed by the mid—afternoon cycle at earliest for OKX, BOS, and Mt. Holly
  18. crossbowftw3
    Let’s just say yes for sake of logic regarding Urban Heat islands
  19. crossbowftw3
    2-6 inland and 5-10 coasts iso 12” make sense?
  20. crossbowftw3
    Wow still looks good for 2-5 here but this is continuing to build into a coastal special
  21. crossbowftw3
    That’s overkill perhaps a much more useful guide on how long this pattern continues to sustain? https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:share:6763089451045535744
  22. crossbowftw3
    with temps getting at least a few degrees above freezing not much will survive the morning
  23. crossbowftw3
    there could be, but a very isolated exception rather than the norm
  24. crossbowftw3
    subfreezing highs to the Southern Coastlines would not be a good thing at all lol
  25. crossbowftw3
    Ceiling is still only 6-10/12 at most, thing is probably done by the time the game begins lol Either way, most conducive pattern in years for cold/snow. Just from the three biggest storms thus far we've already beaten what we got last year by over 10" with a full month to go, I'd call this winter a success so far for MBY.
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