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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    The end result. Would be a tease to go from 7-8” to over 20 in the span of a 30-45 minute drive
  2. crossbowftw3
    Highly favorable ratios as well....looks like over 12:1 edit: maybe even well over
  3. crossbowftw3
    F57 frame
  4. crossbowftw3
    Agreed, everyone north of 84’s prospects look a bit better today (I’d adjust my call to 5-8 if I had to) but the bullseye of the higher totals are still definitely where they have been for the last day or so
  5. crossbowftw3
    No reason to think it wouldn’t be adjusted. This is normal waffling and I would personally expect a shift back south enough to narrow the goalposts of the jackpot zone
  6. crossbowftw3
    BGM high end map looks oddly similar to the first map they posted for 12/16-17...versus the expected. Both still probably make equal amounts of sense as of this point.
  7. crossbowftw3
    Which is why I don’t intend to just jump on what happened overnight, I would still expect things to level off with today’s runs to end up with that 95-84 jackpot but I can now reasonably say low-end warning amounts at least to where I’m at now
  8. crossbowftw3
    Still need more than a few extra ticks to get much more than 3-6/4-8 north of 84, looking like somewhere between 84-95 and points SW of there should be the definites for 8+.
  9. crossbowftw3
    Can't have one to have the other but I'd gladly sit this one out to give LI an all snow event
  10. crossbowftw3
    Full map fwiw
  11. crossbowftw3
    Shades of January 2016 all over again
  12. crossbowftw3
    2016 all over again. My sister and her fiancé live in Peekskill and they’re going to be my personal measuring stick for how intense the gradient ends up being between their house and mine in Sullivan.
  13. crossbowftw3
    It can come back but it may not be enough to do much more than marginal warning. 6-8 is a probable upper bound
  14. crossbowftw3
    Definitely teetering and can go either way. I’ll go for a reasonable call and say enough ticks happen for some of BGM’s WFO to get 3-6
  15. crossbowftw3
    And holding onto hope for something more. We’re teetering (and maybe just a bit on life support) but I don’t expect a complete fail. Lots to decide and enough time to get a better picture.
  16. crossbowftw3
    We’re definitely teetering but you’re right, not out of this yet. I don’t expect a complete fail, though. We will get some of the action, to which degree I don’t know yet.
  17. crossbowftw3
    Still think with enough ticks the north of 84 crew can get a 3-6/4-8 threat but I think the window for anything more significant is shrinking with every run.
  18. crossbowftw3
    They’ve still got something at least....a nice 1” at my house in Sullivan. On life support.
  19. crossbowftw3
    Not great for me at all in Sullivan but definitely better for most
  20. crossbowftw3
    I’m physically prepared. Mentally? Perhaps not nearly as such.
  21. crossbowftw3
    Euro running now. Little effect for most of us but I think this is going to be the biggest run of the season thus far from DCA-Boston.
  22. crossbowftw3
    Biggest run of the season for 95 and the metros?
  23. crossbowftw3
    DC snapping the streak in a big way
  24. crossbowftw3
    Wouldn’t be shocked if it’s more abrupt than currently modeled. Even in January 2016 Middletown still got 5-8 and they’re only an hour SE of me.
  25. crossbowftw3
    Those of us north of 84 are beginning to run out of time with this one. @sferic @Ericjcrash we might be getting closer to a rare miss I’m afraid
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