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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    New BGM map. Once again 15-25 minutes is pretty much the difference from next to nothing to >=3-4”.
  2. crossbowftw3
    BGM first call...looks largely reasonable. @sferic you could get 3-4” from this. Not looking for more than 1-2” where I am in Narrowsburg.
  3. crossbowftw3
    Whatever the NAM 3k is on, can I have some? Tossed.
  4. crossbowftw3
    Interesting map. Assuming this combines the elements of today, tomorrow night, and then the LES. At my lower elevation in Sullivan I’m guessing the under, but it’ll still be an inch or so. Elevation driven event regardless.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Pretty interesting map. Seems a bit overcooked but elevations can probably cash in 3-5” before the LE train begins.
  6. crossbowftw3
    Could sneak in an inch or two up here in Sullivan on Saturday. Not overly counting on it but it’d be nice before the lake response kicks up.
  7. crossbowftw3
    figure I’ll toss this out once again. The theme of rather scary analogs for tornado season continues. While obviously not implicating any one event this year matches the ferocity of those, the potential very much exists. It should also be noted that in some of these examples a TC would then eventually ride up the East Coast, most notably (and recently) Irene.
  8. crossbowftw3
    Well, while this weekend’s threat is pretty much gone now; next week is starting to look pretty interesting at this point.
  9. crossbowftw3
    Watching the trees begin to self-clean themselves. It’s actually quite fascinating to see.
  10. crossbowftw3
    Yep, finished with 4” on the dot here.
  11. crossbowftw3
    Been lightly snowing for hours while areas west of me are getting the banding. Doesn’t look like more than 3-4” while 1500’ elevation areas are getting over 10”
  12. crossbowftw3
    And we are now underway with more moderately heavy snow here in Sullivan. 32/30
  13. crossbowftw3
    With what I got OTG from this morning the forecast should easily be met, curious though about if any banding can form to help bust totals high...but probably not by much given the quick movement of the Storm overall. BGM seems to think a 5-6 hour window of banding could happen
  14. crossbowftw3
    From eye testing easily around .5-.75 is currently on the ground after the initial burst, should help to easily meet the forecast. Curious to see if any banding forms to help bust some of these forecasted amounts high, but Storm still moving too quickly to go anything more than 6-7”
  15. crossbowftw3
    It could, but only by an inch or so
  16. crossbowftw3
    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 422 PM EST Sat Jan 2 2021 NYZ062-032130- /O.EXA.KBGM.WW.Y.0001.210103T1600Z-210104T0400Z/ Sullivan- Including the city of Monticello 422 PM EST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. * WHERE...Sullivan county. * WHEN...Snow will develop late in the morning Sunday, peak in intensity in the afternoon and taper off Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
  17. crossbowftw3
    Pretty reasonable guess, perhaps hold some 6 or more to anything even higher than 1500
  18. crossbowftw3
    Your house probably gets the 6” if I’m being honest right now
  19. crossbowftw3
    The melting is well underway now. It's a beautiful sound.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Signed, sealed, and delivered?
  21. crossbowftw3
    I'd favor 1250-1500+' areas for the 8 inch totals and a general 2-6 everywhere else. Ratios will probably not be the perfect 10:1 but still pretty close regardless.
  22. crossbowftw3
    Should also say if there are to be any 8"+ totals it's definitely eastern New England as the low gets going
  23. crossbowftw3
    3-6 is still a solid bet, maybe swing up to 4-8 depending. Going to be a nice event not unlike last January 18 (I think?)
  24. crossbowftw3
    Listening to the ice melt away is somehow one of the most oddly satisfying things one can do for some reason. 37/35 at my place as of now We have to then replace this with at least 2-4" of snow tomorrow winter can be fascinating yet highly confounding at the same time
  25. crossbowftw3
    Got some snow maps for that or?
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