
crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Can't ignore GFS still until it for sure tanks to other guidance. I wouldn't be shocked if something like the GFS happened but brought further north a tad. RGEM being in tandem with it is somewhat telling. We will see what euro does in a few hours. Right now if I were to blend everything I'd still probably get 8-12 while somewhere near NYC easily gets over a foot -
Makes the most sense as of this moment. Might even drop to 15 degrees at my house if point and click is to be believed.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That euro main run made me both smile and grimace both at once. Still fine but this could still get ugly in a hurry. If this keeps trending south I'll still take 5-8 but.... -
Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If you guys beat Arizona the cardinals would be 5-7 just like the Giants. We need to beat them, lol -
Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That GFS run wasn't very comforting. 0z will tell all. Essentially back to where we were this time yesterday. -
I'm going to guess....sometime between 2014 and 2017?
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My fear as well, still being maintained into this morning. 0z runs tonight will be key for us. Even if a relative whiff happens I'd think we'd still be good for 3-6".
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I still fear this happening. Still going par the course for my BY but you raise a good point here.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good point. -
My nerves should just about subside once the main wave is in play. I still really like where I'm at here. >14:1 ratios are just asking for big totals of pure powder.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Eric's liberty house has 700' or so on me, and yet NYC is still in play. Regardless this still looks part the course and one of us should definitely get the goods. -
Hard not to be nervous in the LHV as well. We should be fine but might just be precariously close to the cutoffs.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
We're still largely on the course but model wars have commenced for another season -
I'm interested to see what kind of impact that sub-940 low would have on Labrador.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GEFS not giving in. The battle of GFS vs. Euro has commenced for another season. -
I'd assume we'll eventually see the compromise play out but the million dollar question is where could there be a sharp gradient of snow (should there be one?) us northern folks are essentially hanging our hats on this one bullet point.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Lesser on Monday the better? count on it. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Regardless of what Kevin thinks that's likely highly implausible to happen...if at 10:1 you're asking for 3" of snow an hour for 12 hours...essentially, one band has to last for half a day. Not likely. -
Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Saving this to the portfolio ha Thoughts remain unchanged of course from earlier...30" highly unlikely but widespread 6-10+ where probably equally as numerous to widespread reports of 10"+ happen -
We are still no less than 12-18 hours from the main wave coming ashore in Pacific Canada after all
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Some from just last winter even...I know there was one from February that had 20+ DC to Boston Edit: strangely very similar to what we're being shown now. hmmm. -
That's probably just the limits of TT mapping ability. On pivotal the picture is much clearer.
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Less a trend and more the GFS deciding it wanted to know the feeling of a drunk guy stumbling around the alleyways trying to keep himself entertained Edit: still concerned about what the 12z euro wanted to show us
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I turned my back on them a while ago (a few years by this point.) The "covidcane" stunt was pretty preposterous; but by then I had forums like this that are a good deal better at conveying the information behind the storms than TWC ever could dream to. -
A rather concerning run nonethless. Tonight and tomorrow's runs will be very telling where this ends up. My suspicion all along is this eventually evolves into a 95 crusher and we might have just taken the first steps.
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