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crossbowftw3

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  1. crossbowftw3
    Hanging in pretty good here in Sullivan to where I think 3-6 is probably plausible for Sunday. The coasts might actually get two legit 10+" storms in the same week for the first time in years
  2. crossbowftw3
    If I had to make an early guess I'd almost certainly bet 4-8/6-10 across the region with the 10 most common on the coasts and just inland. For @snywx @sferic and I 4-7" seems most plausible
  3. crossbowftw3
    Either way it’s actually a bit of a legit shock to see a pack-reinforcing storm to be coming so close behind such a “massive” blizzard as last weekend was, even if this looks more like a moderate event at best
  4. crossbowftw3
    If it does I would agree with the idea of 6-10 as a high end despite the fast movement—mainly focused on the coastal areas perhaps? Otherwise 3-6/4-8 event
  5. crossbowftw3
    non-accumulating snow now 29/27. another inch or so fell in the last few hours so final total probably ends at around 23". Easily a top 3 or 4 storm I've ever personally witnessed.
  6. crossbowftw3
    Started with 3” snow depth from last Tuesday, measured out 25” in three different spots so approximate final total is around 22” and still potentially delivering around another inch or two today. This is truly one for the books.
  7. crossbowftw3
    10” here, had to revise from my earlier guesstimate of a foot upon further precise measuring. Biggest flakes of the day now, would guess it’s only now falling back to around 10:1 ratio snow. Missing the bigger band just to my south.
  8. crossbowftw3
    You, like most everyone else in N/WCNJ is probably going to very easily make a run at 30”, if not 3’ by the time this is all said and done. The extra 1-3 or so tomorrow will be the cherry on top.
  9. crossbowftw3
    28/26 and continued moderate snow but still nothing overly heavy yet. Easily pushing a foot and with another 5-8 tonight we should easily make a run at 20” here. Snow has remained remarkably high-ratio and fluffy to this point.
  10. crossbowftw3
    Ratios for most away from coasts should probably be at around 12:1-15:1 or more tonight before they may end up falling back closer to 10:1 at the peak tomorrow
  11. crossbowftw3
    Inching up to around 3/4-1” in Narrowsburg, probably slightly less, not expecting too much tonight
  12. crossbowftw3
    Approaching ~.75-1” now in Sullivan, don’t expect much above 3-5 to happen tonight into the earliest portions of tomorrow. This is shaping up to be a good storm for us and something legitimately special for folks closer to NYC/LI
  13. crossbowftw3
    staying the course for 12-18 iso 20-24
  14. crossbowftw3
    BGM point and click doesn’t have snow starting here until nearly midnight, part of why I still feel somewhat skeptical of anything bigger than ~8-12/16 or so
  15. crossbowftw3
    Yeah I don’t expect much more than maybe 4-5” to be OTG by tomorrow afternoon. Tomorrow night is the real show here. I’m planning to clear whatever is on the ground at or around noon tomorrow so the job on Tuesday morning can be at least somewhat easier.
  16. crossbowftw3
    Ratios should be more favorable here than closer to NYC/LI. All depends on if banding pokes in
  17. crossbowftw3
    NAM giving me 6-10 this run? And it still keeps NYC/LI in the Jack zone? I’ll gladly take it for myself and giving the snow-starved here something special
  18. crossbowftw3
    Walt, Any idea on ratios for inland folks? I'd think similar in stature to 12/17--guessing 10-13/14:1 again with temps not getting much above 27-29 during daytime Monday and falling back between 23-26
  19. crossbowftw3
    I would genuinely be annoyed if that happened.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Probably BGM's first guess of 6-12 makes sense, we can still cash in on this but probably not nearly as much as closer to NYC
  21. crossbowftw3
    BGM's WSW-acknowledges the longer duration to get to these totals+after this still going into how much uncertainty remains. ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches possible. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford, Susquehanna, Northern Wayne, Lackawanna, Pike and Southern Wayne counties. In New York, Chemung, Tioga, Broome, Delaware and Sullivan counties. * WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through early Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event. A few to several inches of lighter snow are possible Sunday evening through Monday. Then for Monday night into Tuesday morning, additional snow is expected which may be heavy at times, along with areas of blowing snow.
  22. crossbowftw3
    They did but this situation feels so much more volatile for us North of 84. We were always guaranteed a good event then, but this time much less so. Effectively speaking the margin of error between 1" and over a foot is very thin. I've forgotten how it feels to be in this situation
  23. crossbowftw3
    Very unusual situation here. WSWatch hoisted but this isn’t guaranteed in the slightest. We have to keep watching this and won’t hone in on one common solution until tomorrow.
  24. crossbowftw3
    That’s a legit death band if I’ve ever seen one. Surely >3” an hour would be going on in that
  25. crossbowftw3
    How much closer do we see these goalposts narrow today do you think? I’m still discounting bigger totals this far north in Sullivan but as I’ve said all morning marginal warning level snows seems to be growing ever plausible here.
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