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crossbowftw3

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  1. crossbowftw3
    Pi Day and then 2018 tell me that this can totally happen in March, still need roughly 10” to actually meet average for this winter which is shocking to think about overall that we still are slightly below normal for snow if the death band was only so much more south in December we would’ve been at least 5-10” above average
  2. crossbowftw3
    I’ll tentatively guess that we’re probably done with events that give over 8” but I’ve seen March do weirder things. Would not be shocked for one more major snow and maybe 1-2 minor-moderate events before we are truly done with this winter. For now, I’ll enjoy this warmup, however relatively muted it is.
  3. crossbowftw3
    Just catching up since this evolved right under my nose while I was dealing with other affairs yesterday. 2-4 looks good for BGM’s WWA where I probably only see 2” of slop at my house because surface temperatures look otherwise highly questionable
  4. crossbowftw3
    2 at my elevation and maybe up to 4 for you. Just catching up since this evolved quickly
  5. crossbowftw3
    Looks to be about another 2.5” OTG over the course of the overnight so storm total sits at around 4.5” with maybe another 1-2” today but I wouldn’t count on it given current radar presentation for at least us inland folks
  6. crossbowftw3
    pretty solid idea
  7. crossbowftw3
    Ran out to shovel and estimated about 2.5" or so has fallen to this point, give or take. Looking for maybe another 1-4 or so with the next wave.
  8. crossbowftw3
    ERCOT just said that Texas’s power grid was a mere MOMENTS AWAY FROM CATASTROPHIC FAILURE:
  9. crossbowftw3
    Generally speaking yes, most of our accumulations should be happening between now and then.
  10. crossbowftw3
    Finally into the snow here in Sullivan with an overall light-moderate intensity. We probably won’t see more than 2-3 out of this initial burst before the lighter stuff takes over
  11. crossbowftw3
    We could definitely bust low but we can still get to say 4” or so just from duration and ratios. this will make it north but without a doubt we probably don’t see heavier rates
  12. crossbowftw3
    Radar doesn’t look too friendly right now as it looks like the snow is getting stunted from making much more forward progress. Could bust low but ratios and longer duration of lighter snows can still get 4-6”
  13. crossbowftw3
    Meanwhile here north of 84 it looks like precip still getting held south by the drier air....could bust low here but we can still get to 5-6” purely by longer duration/ratios alone
  14. crossbowftw3
    Eyeballing between .5-1” after the quick shot earlier on this morning, now having to wait for the first main wave to inch northward (if it does)
  15. crossbowftw3
    correct. generally speaking only 1-2" will be falling for every 6 hours of this storm's residence.
  16. crossbowftw3
    WWA for 3-7 here: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Pike and Wayne counties. In New York, Sullivan county. * WHEN...From 3 AM Thursday to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact commutes starting with Thursday morning.
  17. crossbowftw3
    There we go, these were what I was looking for
  18. crossbowftw3
    Criteria for warnings up here is still 8” if I’m not mistaken
  19. crossbowftw3
    Wouldn’t be shocked if BGM issues high end WWAs for 4-7 if taking today’s runs into account
  20. crossbowftw3
    Longer duration of lighter snows up here can also help us get to that same level of snow as NYC as well
  21. crossbowftw3
    good to lock in a new snowpack as the pattern will go into remission for the rest of the month
  22. crossbowftw3
    Watch up for 5-8 in Sullivan. Reasonable. Long duration overall should help this be much easier to keep up with.
  23. crossbowftw3
    front on the move, looks like I will max out around 42 degrees for the high today. Onto the next
  24. crossbowftw3
    Most of the ice has been effectively evaporated now which is a relief but standing water could cause a freeze on my deck and driveway tomorrow morning. As for the pack we still have over 1' but small grass patches are beginning to emerge at the edges
  25. crossbowftw3
    6-10 with some 12
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