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TJW014

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Everything posted by TJW014

  1. TJW014
    `12z HRDPS has the city barely seeing anything.
  2. TJW014
    Just be careful driving. Travel is going to be the biggest trouble. Freezing rain on top of ice pellets is a recipe for disaster on the roads. Especially because up here, everyone drives like maniacs.
  3. TJW014
    It's hard to think that two weeks ago it was in the mid-70s
  4. TJW014
    Sorry to go a little off topic, and It's still very far out, but the last week in November looks to be an active one looking at the GFS
  5. TJW014
    18z NAM-12km went up in Central PA, and a little in N-NJ
  6. TJW014
    12z Euro has some high amounts just west of I-95
  7. TJW014
    So, I guess this will be Winter Storm Avery then for the interior Northeast.
  8. TJW014
    Water is so warm still, that my friend is still surfing! 58 degrees is what he said it was over the weekend
  9. TJW014
    Once we get into the mesoscale time frame tomorrow, we should begin to get a better idea.
  10. TJW014
    In my opinion, I think this might be reasonable through Thursday night, before it turns over to rain. Likely going to be in the 3 - 5 : 1 range.
  11. TJW014
    12z FV3-GFS cut back a little too.
  12. TJW014
    12z GFS backed off on snow totals a little
  13. TJW014
    How much wind are we looking with this? The beaches had a rough hit with the October 27-28 storm. (all the beach replenishment was washed away) I don't think it would (or at be as bad as that one, since the pressure gradient doesn't look as tight as the October storm.
  14. TJW014
    I don't think I'll get much, if anything. For now, I'm going to go with a very cold rain, with maybe some ice pellets mixing in.
  15. TJW014
    3-6 hours of freezing rain is a recipe for a nightmare on the roads
  16. TJW014
    I assume that the snow, if any will be early before it changes back over to rain?
  17. TJW014
    Imagine if that was in January the amount of snow we would get
  18. TJW014
    Is there any sites that I can use to view the Euro model?
  19. TJW014
    My thermometer hit 24 in Toms River. Although it didn't feel like it. Also a beautiful sunrise this morning
  20. TJW014
    I went outside to go and take a picture of the sunrise this morning. As soon as I walked out the door I walked right back inside. Keep in mind I was wearing only pants and a t-shirt. (I hate wearing layers) So, I guess my plan for today is to stay inside
  21. TJW014
    Looking at the NAM, I don't think that there would be much thunder/lightning. Like usual, the timing is off a few hours. So I assume it will be a low height squall line. With some wind gusts to 40-50, especially closer to the ocean
  22. TJW014
    Shouldn't be looking at too much wind, correct? That storm back on the 27th and 28th of October really took a toll on the beach. All our tax dollars to replenish it went out to sea (literally)
  23. TJW014
    Anyone seen the FV3-GFS? If that becomes true, a real slammer for next week in New England. But I think that's very bullish
  24. TJW014
    Got more rain here than I thought too. I bet I've gotten at least a half inch. Getting a little break in the action soon, then another line of showers to arrive.
  25. TJW014
    Rain knocking on the door here. A little earlier than I thought.
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