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TJW014
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Everything posted by TJW014
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Some drone footage too: https://imgur.com/a/DdlU4u6
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For the atheists: https://imgur.com/a/L5eUust
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Up to 45. Not even wearing a jacket. River ice is 11" thick. Time to go and do some stupid shit before the ice melts.
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When isn't it a "thread the needle" situation here, and when have they ever worked in our favor?
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Rock solid. 13" thick off Toms River Yacht club. Walked across to Ocean Gate for pizza. The urge to drive on is rising... If only I didn't have a 4900 lb SUV
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Really the past two years as a whole have been dry. Aside from May 2025, we've seen near or below average precipitation.
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Morning low of 7 this morning. Scraped probably a 1/2" layer of frost off the windshield.
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Sun feels great. Getting to that point in the year where I don't need to crank the heat on full blast when getting in the car in the afternoon. It's already warm inside.
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They're warmer in that water than on land. Wetsuit technology has made some big advancements, even over the last 10 years or so. I have a 3/2 made from Yamamoto rubber that will keep me warm in water temps down to the low-mid 50s. Dries in an hour or two vs needing a full day with my old suits. I have a few friends who have made it a few winter seasons in just 4/3s and 5mm boots & gloves. It's never too late to get started out in the water!
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49 years ago, February 1977. Somebody in my family (I believe my grandfather) was drunk enough and decided to drive the station wagon from Island Heights to Sedge Island to check on the old summer shack (not in this picture) Ice was measured at 26" thick at the time. As of Saturday, I measured ice 8.5" thick just off Ocean Gate Yacht Club. Could be pushing 12" by this weekend.
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Change "February" to Thanksgiving, then to Christmas, then to January. Cold's going nowhere. February may very well be below average too.
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I'll take this sunny/frigid weather any day over 35 and overcast. If you can stay out of the wind, the sun feels great. Feels like a true winter.
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Radiational cooling did its job last night. Starting the day at -7 this morning. Off to get the DN and Skeeter ice boats ready for this afternoon
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The NWS website could use a user friendliness improvement. I mean, it's plenty user-friendly us on here, but for the smooth-brained folks who believe everything they see on Facebook or the news outlets, ease of access isn't great. They really should develop their own app. Not just a mobile link to their mobile-friendly site, a real app. All we have now are 3rd party apps using NWS data. That needs to change
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Fairly confident in at least a 2-4" event down here. Makes up for the 6-8" we lost from last weekend due to sleet/ice.
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Need to consolidate these lows.
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Favoring the northern and western lows
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Trof looking better on the GFS too
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RGEM with stronger ridging over the West Coast. Trof has a bit more negative tilt to it also.
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Recon are sampling the upper-level shortwave off PNW that will kick off our storm. IDK if dropsonde data is being ingested by this model run, but definitely 06z.
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Trof has more positive tilt than 18z
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NAM pops a low 300 miles east of the Bahamas lol
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Jersey Shore Special.
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Goes to show that the models have no handle on this system yet.
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