TJW014

Snowing harder now than it did during the whole storm

My size limit is 40.99kb. Thats less resolution than an NES

Notable ocean-effect streaming in on the airport radars.

Subsidence will fill in with precip

About 0.75" of slop. Ironic enough the lightest precip since the start is falling now and it's snow.

Could be worse. Could be torching like the rest of the US right now.

CPK <4" streak is going to continue

Plow trucks here think they can plow 1/4" of sleet. They're just making things worse for everyone

It ain't hard to drive in snow. Good tires and a few brain cells are all you need

First precip is sleet. 32. We'll see how this plays out.

Going to be a fun ride home from West Milford tonight

850-700mb vertical velocity is the X factor. Really only about a 6 hour window for it to shine. Stronger, we stay snow, and heavy snow. Weaker, we ping.

I think all this flip flopping we're seeing with the models is them trying to simulate where the heaviest banding sets up, rather than how far the warm nose edges in. Given all the trends today so far, there's little change in temps aloft. For nearly all of us that we stay below freezing up to 700mb until the wee hours of the storm when precip is winding down. All these jumps north/south are figuring out the heaviest bands. Lift vs subsidence. Someone's gonna be sitting under a weenie band, and someone 10 miles north or south is going to be screwed.

WS Watch to a WWA here. 1-3 snow/sleet + glaze of ice. Kinda expected. Hard to fight both WAA and the east wind.

Wind not too bad with the squall line. Winds offshore. Waves cleaning up 6-8’. Going surfing.

And run it off right into our wetlands, creeks, rivers and back bays that can’t tolerate salt.

KDIX radar showing 100 mph velocities 2000 feet up. Noticeable uptick in wind over the last half hour.

A hair over 8" as of 11:30 AM here. Starting to wind down. Wind picking up.

6" here as of 9 am

3.5" SE Toms River along the river.

Moderate/Heavy band setting up over me. Sticking to all surfaces.

Imagine if this thing had some blocking. Easy 12"+ storm for all of us.

Flurries+ here along Barnegat Bay.

Sleds are out, and the go kart and ATV are prepped for some fun overnight

BS. It's a max of 41 per the Weatherflow stations along the Barnegat and LBI barrier islands. Car thermometers are terrible. They'll be reading 105 when it's in the low 99s