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TJW014

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Everything posted by TJW014

  1. Mt Holly 1/10 chance maps. Haven't seen something like this in a LONG time
  2. Hold on and love your significant other and kids like Mt Holly does to the NBM
  3. WS Watch issued "Heavy Snow with total snow accumulations exceeding 6 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 MPH" Conservative call for now.
  4. Still sucking on the NBM. waiting for 6" probs to reach over 50%
  5. MJO and WxGeek are going to blow their load
  6. Same guy who said there was no storm threat two days ago. IMO something between GFS and Euro is a good bet.
  7. I swear if this winds up being a rain storm I'd be more angry than if it whiffed, aside from putting a dent in the drought
  8. Still a lotta members to the west too.
  9. I don't give a rat's ass about the NAM until tomorrow night
  10. If 18z trends hold on with the 0z suite I'd say the odds for warning level snows increase significantly for NYC. Still, I'm cautious. We've had the rug pulled out beneath us before.
  11. Mean is S/E. A lot of members N/W though
  12. Foreplay is strong with the GFS. But can it finish, or will it think about its ex, the Euro instead?
  13. It'll set up right over his house.
  14. It's sun angle season. Nothing's sticking until nighttime unless it's on existing snow piles that are still around
  15. Weather balloon data starts coming in with the 12z models. I think by then we really start getting a grip on who's getting what. IMO, the ridge is going to be a little too far east for the storm to gain enough latitude before kicking ots. Right now it's showing the ridge vertex over MT and WY. If that ridge retreats west to the ID/MT border, we're in business. For now I like Jersey Shore WWA scraper or a miss over a warning-critera snowfall.
  16. This sub is more bipolar than Kahn Souphanousinphone
  17. If these Day 5-6 maps verified, I'd have over 100" of snow on the season total. Yet instead I have 17"
  18. Steve D says it's not coming. That means a jackpot for Freehold
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