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TJW014

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Everything posted by TJW014

  1. TJW014
    They're banking on high ratios from wet bulbing (14:1-17:1, possibly up to 20:1) to get what they are calling for. Don't think mixing will be an issue for Coastal Monmouth, so that shouldn't cut back anything for you. LBI and coastal areas south have a better chance at mixing/rain
  2. TJW014
    Per Mt. Holly's latest AFD: Maybe ratios this high for northern areas, but I don't think so down here. Probably would chop off 20-25% off their forecast What to watch out for: Bands of heavier snow may enhance the wet bulb effect, resulting in colder surface temperatures and higher liquid to snow ratios. This will result in locally higher snow amounts. Overall, liquid to snow ratios will be on the order of 14:1 to 17:1, but could get as high as 20:1.
  3. TJW014
    Give the kids a day off to play in the snow. Some haven't been able to in over two years. They could probably do a virtual learning day if they wanted to as well.
  4. TJW014
    Low farther north (35 mi) and stronger. Looks wetter too.
  5. TJW014
    Mt Holly just upgraded Ocean, Monmouth, and Burlington counties to a Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 248 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 NJZ020-027-191100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0003.240119T0900Z-240120T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.240119T0900Z-240120T0300Z/ Ocean-Southeastern Burlington- Including the cities of Jackson and Wharton State Forest 248 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Rain will mix with snow during the day Friday near the coasts. * WHERE...Ocean and Southeastern Burlington. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will rapidly drop into the teens late Friday night. Any untreated roads will become icy and dangerous.
  6. TJW014
    I'd be ecstatic with 18z HRRR. Still have a ways to go but looks like we're starting to zero in on somewhere between US-40 and Route 33. Going to be a Nowcast event.
  7. TJW014
    Starts between 5-7 AM, wrapping up by 8-9 PM for most. Evening commute might be interesting
  8. TJW014
    Big winner will somehow be Freehold, NJ. Seems like they always end up squeezing out a little more than anybody else.
  9. TJW014
    Sea robin is delicious. Had some on my last visit to FL. Fried with a coconut batter. Easily top 3 fish meal I've eaten. They're related to lionfish, which is also very good eating.
  10. TJW014
    East of the GSP, particularly the barrier islands might have some trouble with mixing with the easterly wind. Ocean temps are still in the mid-upper 40s (44091 is 46.5) Early call is 2" here. Could be more, could be less depending on where the Norlun trof sets up.
  11. TJW014
    Definitely concerned about the flash freeze potential tonight. Much of us get down to the teens with wind chills near zero. Even treated roads may ice up.
  12. TJW014
    Slushy winter wonderland out here.
  13. TJW014
    Took a ride into IBSP. Up to 37 degrees here. Rain with a few sleet pellets mixing in. About an inch less right along the beach. Windier than I expected. 25 sustained, gusts up to 35 mph.
  14. TJW014
    Just flipped over to sleet. 3.5" on the ground here along the bayfront. Heavier band pushing through in a few minutes, might flip it back to snow. Otherwise think that's about it for me here. Side residential roads are a little slushy but main roads have more visible asphalt than not.
  15. TJW014
    A hair over an inch here on the grass and car tops. Starting to stick to untreated roads.
  16. TJW014
    Light snow reaching the ground here in Toms River. Sticking to the grass and boat cover. Ahead of schedule.
  17. TJW014
    35 was our forecast high here today, still sitting down at 28. Definitely has that "it's gonna snow" feel in the air.
  18. TJW014
    I personally love events like this. Just enough to make everything look pretty outside and coming down at a rate slow enough that the roads don't become a nightmare. Seems like all we ever get now is either 8 inches or more or 2" of rain. I'd much rather have 10 of these events than just one blockbuster storm all winter. That all said, little concerned with temps here right along the Shore. If we stay cold, expecting about 2" here.
  19. TJW014
    From OKX that's 90 miles away. Beam height is 8000 feet @0.5 tilt. Same velocities (some even higher) can be seen on DIX radar too.
  20. TJW014
    From KDIX radar, 110 mph velocities are at a beam height of 2500 feet, 30 miles away from the radar. .
  21. TJW014
    I installed that station there at the bathhouse pavilion when working for the state. Guess I mounted it in a really nice spot.
  22. TJW014
    62 mph in Barnegat Bay
  23. TJW014
    Sustained 64 mph with a peak gust of 75 mph at Cape Fear, NC
  24. TJW014
    Wind gusts already to 35 mph on the marshes in Barnegat Bay.
  25. TJW014
    This will be a fun flight home from RSW - EWR tomorrow night.
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