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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. If this works out Greyhound, you have to put that snowman jack-o-lantern thingy up every year.
  2. RGEM with special effects: Thanks for all the updates overnight for my sleepy butt.
  3. Maybe we need to consult @Greyhounds snowman jack-o-lantern model
  4. NAM is so amped it is trying for a gulf low late in the run. Mini miller A
  5. But to be fair to Heather Haley, WPC seemed to like the NAMish solution as of 15z:
  6. Well SREF plumes should be out. Any one want to venture a NAM guess based on those?
  7. It looked like earlier in the video she had some sort of a meteogram up with several model snowfall totals.
  8. Look, I get it, I'm sorry for her. No matter what happens she is going to have a bunch of idiots messaging the WVLT studio, harassing her and her family. I suspect she is trying to temper expectations for viewers.
  9. She basically seems to be going with the NAM graphic and describing the snow to rain transition based on diurnal heating. Time stamp is around 6 minutes in.
  10. I thought Ninas normally favored suppression and out to sea, which to me would fit this trend. Aren't Ninas when places further to our south usualy get good snows? Where's that juicy Nino STJ when you need it lol.
  11. Here are the Euro Machine Learning models for those interested: There are more than 2 ML models, but only 2 have precip panels available
  12. It's the MSLP running into middle TN that makes me a little nervesome: A little more dig and we can get a clean Miller A, Mobile to Hatteras.
  13. Maybe this is a situation where the boundary will end up a bit further north for the next system to ride, after the early week event rolls out.
  14. I like the PNA ridge on the GFS, I just wish the wave could dig a little more.
  15. That is the NBM, just so there's no confusion with the previous posts
  16. I don't know it didn't look too different to me between 9 and 12z even has a Knoxville dollop 12z on left, 9z on right
  17. I think that might have been a situation where it was modeling the thermals impacted by a relatively warm Lake Michigan, if I remember correctly, so that some of the Chicago suburbs got skunked closer to the Lake. But it still could be on to something else here
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