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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    You've even got a bit of downslope off the Crab Orchard mts indicated there.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some nice radar returns popping in N MS now.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    The elk scared the ______ out of me one cold morning. It was just before Christmas. At first I thought some idiot had bought one in for a joke, but apparently he decided to come down from the Frozen Head/ Cross Mt area and he just chills out off of Fairview road between Coalfield and Mossy Grove.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    You know, we have an elk who has decided to live about 2 miles from my house. Maybe he knew something.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    I remember seeing some of that in Jan 96. had a layer of ice in the middle of 16 inches of snow.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    This is my first system here where I am almost directly up wind of Frozen Head and Cross mt. I'm wondering how it plays out if that lift sets up just right
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Maybe, wrt to precip outputs, the model thinks moisture isn't quite making it into the DGZ. I clicked on a sounding on the HRRR in that ZR and it was 10 degrees and sub freezing through the whole profile.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Latest NBM ticked up quite a bit. 4 run trend:
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like the CMC is lining up for a hit too at 12z
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z HRRR: 12z HRRR:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Twere a good un: I trie to make a trend gif, but weatherbell doesn't go back to the 6z that ran out that far
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Nice satellite imagery this AM, good Gulf moisture fetch as teh cold from makes its way through TN and KY:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    If this works out Greyhound, you have to put that snowman jack-o-lantern thingy up every year.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    WPC probabilities of greater than 4"
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    RGEM with special effects: Thanks for all the updates overnight for my sleepy butt.
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z Euro: 4 run snow Euro trend:
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Maybe we need to consult @Greyhounds snowman jack-o-lantern model
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    NAM is so amped it is trying for a gulf low late in the run. Mini miller A
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's that Nina programming
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    But to be fair to Heather Haley, WPC seemed to like the NAMish solution as of 15z:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Well SREF plumes should be out. Any one want to venture a NAM guess based on those?
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    It looked like earlier in the video she had some sort of a meteogram up with several model snowfall totals.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Look, I get it, I'm sorry for her. No matter what happens she is going to have a bunch of idiots messaging the WVLT studio, harassing her and her family. I suspect she is trying to temper expectations for viewers.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    If her only reasoning is diurnally driven temperatures.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    She basically seems to be going with the NAM graphic and describing the snow to rain transition based on diurnal heating. Time stamp is around 6 minutes in.
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