midatlanticweather

Deck pic or did not happen!

28.3 for a low. Ha, my weather station says light snow currently. I feel like it is just trying to get me to look outside. Ha... I did check radar. Lol

1.37 inches total.

GFS Set up seems just off.. many other factors seem to dampen any ideas of snow later next week. Not that I was counting on it, but we have a nice, wet, nor'easter like set up but missing ingredients! Not super cold, no blocking, etc.. a perfect low swing would have to have been the case, and that is unlikely. I was liking the 500MB though.. Climo is also an obvious factor, a little later may have been a little fun.. maybe..others can tell me other things wrong with this picture!

Not 0%!

Being within a week seems just beyond fantasy land and some speculation time. The maps help get a sense of what the models think. I like them for the shortcut of seeing them. BUT, I do get worried about the responses that then cloud with the same graphic again and again.

I thought so too!

BWI: 17.9 DCA: 12.6 IAD: 23.4 RIC: 18.1 Tiebreaker LYH: 19.1

Hit 80 degrees here at 3:36 PM - Crazy warm for November.

Was noticing this as well. Quick cold shot then a shift back to normal or slightly above. I mean, a lot of time to get the details.

Absolutely!!!

Fantasy model runs. We need precip no matter how. I will take it in any form it wants to come.

No, I was home from college in Richmond and we had a sleet/snow event Thanksgiving eve. I could have sworn it was 1990.

Wasn't 1990 also a flip at Thanksgiving?

30.3 here in Purcellville for a low.

Been a great fall. Leaves amazing, good chilly nights, and refreshingly nice days. Best I can remember for years. We need the rain, but I am so happy to see the entire cycle of the leaves on the trees without a windy rainstorm sweeping them quickly away.

I will stop posting this guy until we see if what he says holds any water. Here was his post today. I have no idea if this is true. The challenge, of course, is did we flip because of what he has identified or was it just luck. I saw the comments that his upper air charts were not really at the levels to be doing PV predictions. A re-curvature is known to do a disruption, so maybe that is nothing surprising really. Also, snow where? Snow in the east is what he has been focusing on.. but how far east? Inland NE would really be the only place I would see snow being possible before Thanksgiving except maybe some mountain love. Oh well.

We can all hope! Here you go @Yeoman - some more Twitter info!