midatlanticweather
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Everything posted by midatlanticweather
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I was fringed! OK by it though... but if this had been a snow storm - I would have been crying with my inch of snow today!
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"I fell victim to one of the classic blunders! The most famous of which is 'Never get involved in a land war in Asia,' but only slightly less well-known is this: 'Never trust the precipitation on the GFS when a Nor'easter is on the line and it is the only model showing it!'"
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GFS continues it deluge. Euro says about about 1 to 1.5 more. NAM has backed way off. Eastern areas look very wet no matter the model
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2.3 here so far for the whole event. Steady waves of rain then drizzle then rain then drizzle..
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NAMs backed off on heavy stuff but GFS said "Hold my beer" and went super wet. Which one will it be? Euro seems to split the difference on the 6z.
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Should be able to overcome the sun angle too!
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Snowboard is clear and ready for measuring! The rain gauge is also waiting...
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I think it is safe to say that this is kind of a hybrid type system to an extent. Even NHC is recognizing it. That block to the north is going to flex its muscle.
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Check this - Suppression
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Looks like Euro has a similar look to 12Z - the secondary swath may have just started to pump. But the low looks different. I think we have a lot of adjustments coming over the next few days.
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GFS still 1 to 3 inches.. I personally think that would be right.. if it was a snow forecast.
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Perfect weather here today! 64 degrees
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Euro seems to be showing a severe threat for Saturday. Maybe some more knowledgeable can comment.
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This is a crazy animation!
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Seems GFS is 1 to 2 inches and Euro 1 to 3 inches. NWS is much more robust for the area with 2 to 5 inches in the area. I am pretty sure 1 to 3 inches with some higher, especially south, seems more likely to me. I see the ICON, but I do not trust that much! We shall see, but a southern push seems possible!
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On subject! Euro has Ian off the FL Coast
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Wegman's Carrot Cake is insane! I agree here!
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Wonder if the recurve will get us another cold shot in a few weeks? Kalup
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This is all I think of when I hear Fall Foliage now! LOL
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Ain't nothing wrong with it! It doesn't hurt nobody! (from a Christmas Light and decoration Nut!) Showers and breezy in Purcellville - need to keep it on topic!
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Every weather weenie on twitter: Not a forecast - but freak out over this The forecast is not clear - But this looks devastating The range of options is enormous - But look at this Cat 4 hitting Florida. In the short range, for real, Nova Scotia looks to get rocked.
