Jump to content

midatlanticweather

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,901

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. midatlanticweather
    Trends are not super friendly here! We shall see. That 50/50 is key (a myriad of ther things)! We are getting to a range where some better understanding of Thursday's low and the 50/50 interaction. It is all a delicate dance, and our feet keep getting stepped on in each run. I am a deb here, but that is what I am seeing. Does not mean it is correct. Just remember, PSU was fringed at one point! Now models are giving PA and the NE snow. Just an observation. The ensembles give me pause and some hope, but just not loving trends.
  2. midatlanticweather
    Can totally see this ending up north. Seems typical
  3. midatlanticweather
    Thankful for the precip showing now. Just need to fix a few things so bigger things can happen
  4. midatlanticweather
    Not a great look. Some positive changes though. High up north is not great
  5. midatlanticweather
    We know it is fragile and will shift around a lot! It will be a week of happiness and Lucy calls! So, ya! Typical. But we see the shifting already! Nothing is a sure thing.. but some kind of storm seems likely. We shall see! Enthusiastic for now!
  6. midatlanticweather
    Ya.. PSU Fringed is a good sign to me. Let's worry if this is real or a mirage!
  7. midatlanticweather
    That model run was a bunch of crap! LOL! I think there is a lot of model confusion. I mean, it may be bad in the end, but it obviously has some work to do to figure out what is happening. I think this is a given from the board discussion, but nothing looks right! Ensembles may help
  8. midatlanticweather
    Guess I am not looking at the right stuff. Lol
  9. midatlanticweather
    Where did the parade of shortwaves go?
  10. midatlanticweather
    0z is kinda boring. Lol
  11. midatlanticweather
    Not buying it.. But it has a chance to get colder.... Or warmer. Lol. I would say it would be worth watching but the model consistency has been rough at the surface
  12. midatlanticweather
    I am confused by Pivotal's site in the range after Christmas - Looks interesting... pretty much wet.. just strange
  13. midatlanticweather
    I feel southern sliders are always a threat. Also, a too wrapped up system changing to rain. I will not be surprised by misses to the south even though I hate them the most. Still way off, but I even think some of the long range seasonal models were not as bullish on precipitation here. Glass half empty statement here
  14. midatlanticweather
    @Bob Chillis legend! Happy to see him!
  15. midatlanticweather
    Fringed out my way on the super long gfs! Lol.
  16. midatlanticweather
    Well.. YA! You had a even more specialness! Happy Anniversary (maybe a day early!)
  17. midatlanticweather
    14 years ago we were about to get a good one! I created this at the time. Lol
  18. midatlanticweather
    A little over an inch for Purcellville. Breezy and my Christmas lights have taken a hit. One strand so far, but that is over 1000 lights.
  19. midatlanticweather
    There were definitely models showing a favorable setup for Christmas week. That is delayed and the look now being advertised does not look like what the long range was showing. The long range also went very warm with pacific air overtaking all North America. So, yes, things did look bad for a bit and then improved. We are also still seeing changes far enough off that it could be changed again.
  20. midatlanticweather
    This post has me back to thinking we are seeing illusions on the long-range good looks. LOL! Need more luck than usual to get stuff to do what we need it to do these days! Thanks for the breakdown... now I will breakdown! LOL!
  21. midatlanticweather
    Ya.. looking at the long-range predictions, especially the Middle part of the Mid-Atlantic was showing near to below normal precipitation. The heavier stuff was southern VA and south or up in the NE. We do not need above normal precip to get big snows though. We just need the good timing when we get a storm and a more favorable setup to make the luck we always need more possible
  22. midatlanticweather
    A little taste of light snow and cold Temps. I would take any snow falling for the Christmas spirit. Things are shifting around for sure.
  23. midatlanticweather
    This has the feel of a famous miss around Christmas and a famous March that should not be talked about
  24. midatlanticweather
    The GFS had a bit better of an evolution with the low. I mean, it is a good rainer and would be an amazing snow if it happened the right way and we had cold air. But the last few days it has looked soooo strange. More drought denting cold rain! Happy that it seems likely now. Wish things would get clearer in the long-range for more chances, but I think we are going to see some strange outcomes! THANK YOU to the knowledgeable posters for the details and nuances that can be good in the midst of a lot of bad looks.
  25. midatlanticweather
    i predict a model flip psych out soon. Lucy football situation
×
×
  • Create New...