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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. midatlanticweather
    Cameras on 511de.org are fun to look at! Huge flakes and coated everywhere on most!
  2. midatlanticweather
    I think k that is a bit early to be making ten conclusion. I suspect the band gets set up once the low gets cranking
  3. midatlanticweather
    Mixed back with snow now. But temperatures have torched to 37 degrees out here in Purcellville
  4. midatlanticweather
    Just rain here in Purcellville. It is probably just too light. Temp is up to 36.4 as well.
  5. midatlanticweather
    Earlier that hill had rain/snow mixed. I am about to head home back in Purcellville but it looks like it is all rain out there now. Looking at security cameras
  6. midatlanticweather
    In Leesburg. Rain has some bouncy elements to it now. Trying to mix in
  7. midatlanticweather
    In Purcellville it was like 70%. 40% up to about rt9.
  8. midatlanticweather
    In Leesburg now. Light rain. Was rain/snow mix until I went over the hill by rt9
  9. midatlanticweather
    0:1
  10. midatlanticweather
    rain and snow mixed. 35.5 degrees. Lowest we had was 34.9 degrees a few hours ago.
  11. midatlanticweather
    Looks like the short term are seeing the norlun here. It seems to have shifted east since last night but was about there on the Euro as well.
  12. midatlanticweather
    38/29 - NAM norlun is just to my SW on this run. Was wider previously. Exact location TBD - This is when we should see tightening up on the west side for precipitation expansion (I think that is what others have said), so seeing it a little less this way is not a surprise, but it could just be noise!
  13. midatlanticweather
    I suspect a northern stream Miller B is more likely than a juiced Miller A in a Nina pattern. That has been a problem in Nina years.. I agree there are many other factors though and one storm behavior is not a Nina thing in and of itself. That is like a record low or high being used for climate change proof. It is so much more. But, this is not relevant here and likely this is banter
  14. midatlanticweather
    @MillvilleWx - This the area that you are watching for the norlun
  15. midatlanticweather
    Ya.. My backyard.. Lol. I am the eternal pessimist for western Loudoun. There is definitely going to be a gap and the effect of areas nearby losing out due to the way the dynamics work. Hoping to be in the good.. Bug close to being missed.. But too early to be that specific. Thanks for all the details
  16. midatlanticweather
    Why aren't we looking at the 3km? The 12km is a true NAMing..
  17. midatlanticweather
    The surface is way warm. The Kuchera should be checked and the actual snow depth. I suspect way worse
  18. midatlanticweather
    That H5 and track would indicate more precip north and west. Another good run by the gfs.
  19. midatlanticweather
    Gotta be careful! You do not want too much of a good thing.. because it can pump the warmth. I hope I eat my words
  20. midatlanticweather
    HA! Will he even get that reference??
  21. midatlanticweather
    DELMARVA disagrees. Still huge there. That jackpot just shifted
  22. midatlanticweather
    Inverted troughs are jumpy. Still has that feel of a rug pull east for the west guys. I think this has always been the risk, just seeing extra precip is good. Of note, 18z Euro also likes to play with our emotions. It did back with the Carolina storm.. Let's see models actually trend. Mr pessimist here.
  23. midatlanticweather
    I agree.
  24. midatlanticweather
  25. midatlanticweather
    Anyone know if we allow the extra sampling to be fed to the European models as well is American? I guess we do.. Just wondering.. Did the gfs get something the Euro did not or the other way around
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