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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. That model run was a bunch of crap! LOL! I think there is a lot of model confusion. I mean, it may be bad in the end, but it obviously has some work to do to figure out what is happening. I think this is a given from the board discussion, but nothing looks right! Ensembles may help
  2. Guess I am not looking at the right stuff. Lol
  3. Not buying it.. But it has a chance to get colder.... Or warmer. Lol. I would say it would be worth watching but the model consistency has been rough at the surface
  4. I am confused by Pivotal's site in the range after Christmas - Looks interesting... pretty much wet.. just strange
  5. I feel southern sliders are always a threat. Also, a too wrapped up system changing to rain. I will not be surprised by misses to the south even though I hate them the most. Still way off, but I even think some of the long range seasonal models were not as bullish on precipitation here. Glass half empty statement here
  6. Fringed out my way on the super long gfs! Lol.
  7. Well.. YA! You had a even more specialness! Happy Anniversary (maybe a day early!)
  8. 14 years ago we were about to get a good one! I created this at the time. Lol
  9. A little over an inch for Purcellville. Breezy and my Christmas lights have taken a hit. One strand so far, but that is over 1000 lights.
  10. There were definitely models showing a favorable setup for Christmas week. That is delayed and the look now being advertised does not look like what the long range was showing. The long range also went very warm with pacific air overtaking all North America. So, yes, things did look bad for a bit and then improved. We are also still seeing changes far enough off that it could be changed again.
  11. This post has me back to thinking we are seeing illusions on the long-range good looks. LOL! Need more luck than usual to get stuff to do what we need it to do these days! Thanks for the breakdown... now I will breakdown! LOL!
  12. Ya.. looking at the long-range predictions, especially the Middle part of the Mid-Atlantic was showing near to below normal precipitation. The heavier stuff was southern VA and south or up in the NE. We do not need above normal precip to get big snows though. We just need the good timing when we get a storm and a more favorable setup to make the luck we always need more possible
  13. A little taste of light snow and cold Temps. I would take any snow falling for the Christmas spirit. Things are shifting around for sure.
  14. This has the feel of a famous miss around Christmas and a famous March that should not be talked about
  15. The GFS had a bit better of an evolution with the low. I mean, it is a good rainer and would be an amazing snow if it happened the right way and we had cold air. But the last few days it has looked soooo strange. More drought denting cold rain! Happy that it seems likely now. Wish things would get clearer in the long-range for more chances, but I think we are going to see some strange outcomes! THANK YOU to the knowledgeable posters for the details and nuances that can be good in the midst of a lot of bad looks.
  16. i predict a model flip psych out soon. Lucy football situation
  17. This seems unbelievable! Mt. Markus Baker Alaska!
  18. I got a Rock! LOL .. just a light dusting on car tops and decks.
  19. Winds from the NW now and down to 50! at 5:23 we were 56! Then the front made temps drop and winds increased from the Northwest!
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