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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    v
  2. NEG NAO
    if Canadian shows what it did at 12Z chances improve significantly IMO
  3. NEG NAO
    so close yet so far away
  4. NEG NAO
    The thing that bothers me the most about this weekend potential whatever is that Walt doesn't seem to be on board here in this thread in more ways than 1......
  5. NEG NAO
    because of what majority of guidance is currently advertising - so you must think we are getting a snowstorm next weekend.........
  6. NEG NAO
    agree 100%
  7. NEG NAO
    The joker in the deck is what it is
  8. NEG NAO
  9. NEG NAO
    Canadian offshore 0Z
  10. NEG NAO
    you have been saying this storm after storm since November - look at other guidance and you will see how unfavorable the pattern really is - fast flow - no phasing - suppression all combined....
  11. NEG NAO
    But I wouldn't be surprised if this is close to what verifies
  12. NEG NAO
    Why don't you provide something else to prove it........
  13. NEG NAO
    really looking better at 18Z
  14. NEG NAO
    then which ensemble would you choose that you think will verify -they are spread out all over the place - the mean ?
  15. NEG NAO
  16. NEG NAO
    hope you are correct - but favoring the GFS solution which delays whatever potential till at least Sunday
  17. NEG NAO
    its coming to its senses and starting to trend toward the GFS for Saturday but will it for Thursdays ???
  18. NEG NAO
    The only thing I am 100% confident of with this storm in NYC Metro is it will be 100% frozen and most likely 100% all snow . I also think the farther south and east you are in the metro the greater accumulations possible............and there is a chance the north - northwest suburbs get close to nothing....
  19. NEG NAO
    I am interested to see if the EURO solution verifies Thursday - might give some hints as we get closer whether it is accurate with its weekend snowstorm........and vice versa with the GFS.
  20. NEG NAO
    IMO need to get the best model the last few weeks and its ensembles on board for this event and multiple runs of consistency. Notice the Euro is not jumping onboard for the Thursday period of snow while the GFS has been consistent with it run to run - lets see how that works out ....
  21. NEG NAO
    This whole time period and now through the 26th is a big mystery the GFS insists on at least a period of snow here Thursday at least then the 26th something more significant I know I am only just showing 1 model but the GFS has been leading the parade all month
  22. NEG NAO
    yes sir - I am sure the GFS OP was thoughtful too
  23. NEG NAO
    Unfortunately I favor the GFS over the Cosgrove model ATM. - GFS gas plenty of potential and it leaves it at that and we get nothing.......
  24. NEG NAO
    I don't think this will be like that winter IMO.....
  25. NEG NAO
    good to hear
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