NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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only if you are now in Ocean County - not Union
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no no no - no watches here in NJ - so no big deal
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no worries here in NJ - no watches
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Its amazing how Upton can be so precise with their snowfall amount expectations and issue a Winter Storm Watch for Staten Island and no watch for their eastern Union County NJ zone this far in advance...........
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the excitement was caused by what most of the models were showing yesterday - the pessimism now is being caused by the same thing
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So true so true..........
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What happened today is a prime example why they should have stayed conservative yesterday ..........
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no reason to think the 18 GFS won't go way east too ICON just did
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Upton still saying heavy snow possible here AFD from KOKX (cod.edu)
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might be months -players are locked out of training camps
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its moving south today through northwest Canada and is being sampled better
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your point ?
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True but it gets your attention when they all move in the same direction at the same time.....
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yes with a lack of reliable data input......the main features are now inland being sampled more accurately - and when all the models are showing further east - time to believe them...
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Like I said earlier for me here in NJ this might be in the same ballpark as the storm earlier in the month where I got close to 4 inches........anyone who has been advertising a major storm for NYC on TV or radio took a big chance .........
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any graphics ?
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I think onto the Canadian first - if that goes east forgetaboutit........
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the thing that gives it more credibility is the main energy sources out west are being sampled better because they are closer....
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Because it doesn't show a major snowstorm for NYC metro - I think it has a 50/50 chance of verifying at this point
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I am taking it seriously and looks like a lot of potential for a major storm somewhere in the tri-state favoring areas east of NYC
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Nam should only be takin seriously at hour 60 and under - which is here
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you are about 10 or so miles west of me and we seem to be thinking about the same regarding this storm...
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so the EURO has lost these qualities? - also what is your prediction for this storm using all the data parameters you mentioned to forecast by ?
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at this point at least for me I expect this to be in the same ballpark as the early January storm - its a fast mover - guidance is favoring areas east of NYC - I got between 3 -4 inches in the January storm and to Metsfan I already know about the ratio potential.........
