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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    I didn't see you post it here before I did - I swear !
  2. NEG NAO
    Here is my analog for this upcoming weekend storm Snow and ice storm, March 2-3, 1994 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com)
  3. NEG NAO
    Good for what/who ? If you would explain your theory some of us might be convinced !
  4. NEG NAO
    This can be anything from a crippling blizzard in NYC metro to a snow to heavy rainstorm - would be nice to have fresh cold air in place but chances are there will be a little too much ocean air involved at some point for coastal areas especially IMO....need an offshore track to help prevent this....
  5. NEG NAO
    or the snowiest solutions
  6. NEG NAO
    Now we wait and see what the Canadian does with this potential event - its starting to run but sometimes like last night takes forever to run...
  7. NEG NAO
    Can't make this stuff up look at the 12Z GFS now !
  8. NEG NAO
    the ICON mixes us with rain and cuts down on snow amounts in metro
  9. NEG NAO
    Seems like the GFS has been leading the parade so to say this month - maybe that upgrade they did not long ago was the real deal. For this weekend storm it was the first to take the storm directly south from Canada to the Gulf Coast then out to sea south of us. The Euro and the Canadian changed its output a couple runs later following the GFS solution. Then the GFS reversed course and gives us a major coastal storm the last 2 cycles. Lets see if the Canadian and the Euro start trending towards the GFS soon and the GFS solution stays basically the same. So IMO give the GFS the benefit of the doubt and also I am only describing the OP solutions not the ensembles !!!!! and here is a non-scientific output for you guys who don't like them
  10. NEG NAO
    I doubt this is the final or correct solution unfortunately..
  11. NEG NAO
  12. NEG NAO
    IMO only the Canadian will change and trend towards the GFS and Euro.........
  13. NEG NAO
    why ?
  14. NEG NAO
    We are in the Screw Zone !
  15. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro Similar To GFS through weekend at least
  16. NEG NAO
    Only thing Canadian gives us is a rain storm next week
  17. NEG NAO
    Lets start talking about the weekend in the thread Walt Started
  18. NEG NAO
    12Z Canadian is a miss - I liked the 12Z GFS delays any storm along coast till next Tuesday
  19. NEG NAO
    Canadian going in the GFS direction for weekend event
  20. NEG NAO
    and if you have a little patience the GFS will be ok too
  21. NEG NAO
  22. NEG NAO
    This LP on 12Z GFS started out in southern Canada and went south to the gulf coast caused by all the blocking??Then departs off the south/north carolina coasts
  23. NEG NAO
    Many areas in tri-state have little snow left on the ground also....
  24. NEG NAO
    I tend to doubt it will be that strong and other favorable indices will help create a more winter like pattern for us in Feb.........
  25. NEG NAO
    you forgot to mention what it showed for early next week
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