NEG NAO
-
Posts
7,490 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NEG NAO
-
-
-
Sorry Neighbor for my sarcastic comment - but over here in central NJ all the leaves are off the trees - why do you think they are hanging on in NYC ?
-
can't you see they are busy talking about the leaves on the trees ...but I saw that
-
Did the old wicked witch ride by the window on her bike ?
-
Let's talk about the potential Strat Warming event developing later in the month:
-
I Agree
-
where are the snowstorms in this pattern coming from ????
-
but what are the main storm tracks going to be ?
-
its only nice if we break out of this dry pattern and the storm tracks are in our favor for snow which there is no indication of that happening in the mid to long range yet....
-
12Z Euro same as GFS and GEM for 21st
-
That doesn't tell us much for NYC metro we are stuck in the middle - which usually means an active stormy pattern.......
-
12Z Canadian similar to 12Z GFS but beyond 21st storm lingers down south
-
12Z GFS completely different from last nights 0Z regarding the 21st storm
-
Remember we still have no idea what is going to happen next week ..........
-
So basically in his opinion take the models with a grain of salt the next few days - I totally agree ! Anybody else agree ?
-
Realistically every previous post regarding next week is neither right or wrong . There is still mass confusion in the modeling as demonstrated by last nights and the early morning runs with the GFS and Euro Ops in complete disagreement ( GFS an intense coastal hugger and Euro a miss to the south and east ) . Like I mentioned last night IMO until we get several runs in a row of consistency and the ensembles start coming into a basic agreement from multiple models - all options remain on the table ! IMO !
-
Until the Euro and GFS ensembles comes on board and we get several runs in a row of consistency confidence will increase IMO
-
Intense Coastal Hugger - need this further offshore a few miles for the metro to cash in IMO in December with still too warm water........
-
Who is more skilled in predicting long range JB or Dr. Lee ?
-
I'm dreaming of a White New Years..........Overrunning scenerios ? Miller B's ? Plenty of blocking...........
-
-PNA - no sign of weakening anytime soon...
-
models have been flip flopping and unreliable past day 3 -5 for weeks now at least - we won't have a handle on the week leading up to Christmas till later this week IMO....also all those calls from the usual suspects in their winter outlooks for a fast start to winter here was a mistake.........
-
Who believes this ? I think the jury is still out on this one...but as I mentioned earlier it seems the CMC was the most consistent and other models are trending towards it now - CMC 2 runs ago showed a SECS
