NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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I have had enough of this winter already because of the extreme cold - very unusual around these parts for it to be lasting so long and could be record breaking for the length of tme at or below freezing
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have about 8 - 10 here but the top layer of an inch or 2 is ice - it is slowly getting flatter - the sun, wind evaporation and gravity reduces it slowly day by day
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not seeing it anywhere -in the short term - was just "saying" BUT chances are by mid - month we will touch 40 again....
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and it is going against the CPC outlook of well below normal temps on the 9th and these models are saying this at day 9 -AI models can't be trusted in the longer range yet
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considering how cold it has been 35 or 40 degrees a couple of days in a row would be considered a thaw
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its still 9 days out - that's all you need to know - not within forecasting anything range
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Rain storms ??
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with "slow" being the keyword a few hours above freezing will melt nothing - only thing now reducing the ice pack is evaporation and a compacting of it a natural process
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not painful at all IMO - a KU on top of this foot plus in many places solid ice pack would have been a disaster - think about it.........and temps arctic like
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thats what makes this forum - Fill in the blank
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I said "Sourthern Snows" NOT NYC snows !
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The normal is not 33 inches its a few inches less
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as you get deeper into February those large southern snowstorms become less likely everyday - NYC is now at just over 21 inches 2/3rd through MET winter just need an average February snowfall total a couple inches after that to reach normal - thats all that one can reasonably expect - anything more is icing on the cake........
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apparently you didn't look at the 06 GFS - how in the world can you call this winter a "complete failure" ?????? regardless of what happens the rest of the way .
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The northern stream flow has to relax and go more west to east and also the arctic air can't be all the way down to Georgia - these suppress the entire pattern - the models lately have been terrible because of a lack of data ( weather balloons etc out west ) BECAUSE OF CLOSED NWS OFFICES apparently.
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Thanks for the good news Walt - I think
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I think there is a good chance of having some snow at least 1 inch on the ground every day in February when is the last time that happened ? Not talking about coastal Monmouth or Ocean County or coastal Long Island - those areas are less than 50 % IMO
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The first wave on the 5th is not a true Clipper it originates in the southern plains and appears as a LP in the Mid-West at least on the 0Z GFS - and moves almost directly east to the Mid-Atlantic coast
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Canadian says no so far - keep wishcasting
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I think its amazing how some posters here are just "throwing in the towel" on this storm like there is no chance of any snow when parts of the region could still receive anywhere from 2 - 8 inches AS OF NOW or more if there is a slight northwest jog of less than 100 miles. if you receive 4 -8 inches it will seem like a bigger deal because of all the snow already on the ground and frozen solid piles and VERY cold temps. The only good thing is it would be overnight Saturday once again very little traffic and Sunday a majority of people don't have to go to work or school. I also think the title of this thread is misleading - FYI it could be coming but only a smaller event than previously expected.
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How much is Mayberry getting ?
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Guaranteed the GFS OP doesn't verify with its Hop Scotching areas of LP .........crazy
