NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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They cancelled all of the Tornado Watches earlier this evening and since than MT. Holly has issued 6 Tornado Warnings
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Temperature and time of day/night and intensity determines if it sticks later in March into April and usually snow events are hard to predict more than a couple days in advance this late in the season
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surface temp now 42 at 11 am 10 miles west of Staten Island down from 54 around daybreak - no precip here Still no surface reports of anything frozen in PA at 11 am RWR from KCTP
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Radar is showing snow in Central PA but surface reports as of 10 am have none RWR from KCTP
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elevated
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Cloud to ground lightning ? SVR from KPHI - this one had a bow echo on radar
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we are tracking the Ana Front in the new Ana Front thread - and I think we are going to have more to track before this crazy winter is over - this stretching of the Polar Vortex will have a few tricks up its sleeve
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this should be interesting....
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when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ?
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thats called an anafront Ana Front Surprise Thread ?
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I think that would have to fall after dark to accumulate - borderline temps and it was extremely warm last 2days
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start a thread
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who is predicting that ?
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This is true remember last month when some well known not to be named METS online were discounting the chances of any snow the last half of February ?
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using an off hour run of the GFS OP
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Yes some years the sun angle is not as high and the ground temp has a significant influence on higher up levels of the atmosphere along with temps being in the 40's for weeks prior and next weeks cold outbreak along with the other cold outbreaks to follow on guidance doesn't count - welcome to the weather world of Phileaglesfan712....
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would be a rude awakening for those that thought winter weather was over for this season.....has happened many times in the past after a March warm up - as late as April...
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he said the trough not the colder than normal cold air supply in Canada which will be tapped into epecially from back door fronts down here polar vortex is being shoved south by the strat warming event through at least March could be 75 in DC and in the 40's up here down the road
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EPS around these parts still has colder temps in the longer range - you don't have to include a pic of yourself in your post
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yes really looks similar to the OP
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because the ensemble means show basically the same colder pattern and temps down the road
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The models handle the temps better than the individual storms - whole point is winter cold will continue through March at least because of the strat warming event. Anyone expecting to see 70's past this week in March north of the Mason Dixon line is wrong IMO
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enjoy it this week - you won't see 70's here again for a few weeks - that warm surge will have a difficult time making it to the east coast because of the strat warming event unfolding now and once it approaches the metro we will be back doored because of the arctic air being displaced further south because of the polar vortex displacement into southeast Canada
