NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary
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Going to be some wild weather between now and the end the month summer like warm temps and winter temps and snow chances
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yes and the 12Z GFS solution showed up at 0Z last night also - no doubt we will have the cold air intrusions well into April curtesy of the stretching of the Polar Vortex Strat Warming Event while the west bakes..........plus the 27 -29th is the last weekend of the month and January and February featured big storms both on the last weekend of the month - will the streak continue ?
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yes by doing that it almost guarantees more snow by early April - this type of pattern with one colder than normal outbreak after another through early April increases the chances IMO.
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that was a mistake since several Tornado Warnings were issued in the last few hours
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Many power outages in NJ PSE&G NJ Outage Map
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They cancelled all of the Tornado Watches earlier this evening and since than MT. Holly has issued 6 Tornado Warnings
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Temperature and time of day/night and intensity determines if it sticks later in March into April and usually snow events are hard to predict more than a couple days in advance this late in the season
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surface temp now 42 at 11 am 10 miles west of Staten Island down from 54 around daybreak - no precip here Still no surface reports of anything frozen in PA at 11 am RWR from KCTP
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Radar is showing snow in Central PA but surface reports as of 10 am have none RWR from KCTP
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elevated
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Cloud to ground lightning ? SVR from KPHI - this one had a bow echo on radar
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we are tracking the Ana Front in the new Ana Front thread - and I think we are going to have more to track before this crazy winter is over - this stretching of the Polar Vortex will have a few tricks up its sleeve
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this should be interesting....
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when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ?
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thats called an anafront Ana Front Surprise Thread ?
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I think that would have to fall after dark to accumulate - borderline temps and it was extremely warm last 2days
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start a thread
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who is predicting that ?
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This is true remember last month when some well known not to be named METS online were discounting the chances of any snow the last half of February ?
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using an off hour run of the GFS OP
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Yes some years the sun angle is not as high and the ground temp has a significant influence on higher up levels of the atmosphere along with temps being in the 40's for weeks prior and next weeks cold outbreak along with the other cold outbreaks to follow on guidance doesn't count - welcome to the weather world of Phileaglesfan712....
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would be a rude awakening for those that thought winter weather was over for this season.....has happened many times in the past after a March warm up - as late as April...
