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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Agree for the morning and most of the Afternoon BUT there is a potential for the front to move back north as a warm front - timing is an issue right now - we have done quite well this summer regarding severe weather with warm fronts approaching from the south - time will tell..........
  2. NEG NAO
    Another area to consider when trying to consider if the winter is going to be colder/snowier in the east is how the Arctic and Greenland Ice Sheet gained or lost Ice in the summer months. The Arctic lost very little Ice and the map below illustrates that potential source of cold air in the winter months Greenland actually gained Ice these last 3 months - encouraging news
  3. NEG NAO
  4. NEG NAO
    Still the same severe chances - updated a few hours ago
  5. NEG NAO
    Not much has changed - reminds me of a few weeks ago when we were in the northeast side of the heat ridge which is famous for severe weather chances
  6. NEG NAO
    Very true - Also San Diego is much cooler in July and August then NYC metro ContextClimate - scroll to different stations to compare
  7. NEG NAO
    Going to be a fun rush hour - plenty of heavy precip - storms moving in from the west - southwest towards the metro - much of NE NJ under water already
  8. NEG NAO
    That is from that storm north of you over Elizabeth area - also another one heading your way from Perth Amboy
  9. NEG NAO
    NYC is going to be sharing the wealth - FFW - also anyone in Rahway- Linden Elizabeth ? That heavy rain has been sitting there for over an hour on radar FFW from KOKX
  10. NEG NAO
    what is a "Deflector Shield" ?
  11. NEG NAO
    dark angry looking sky to my southwest with nothing on radar but just noticed another pop up developing south of 287 near highland park - plenty of thunder in the area - earlier pop up near piscataway plainfield now heavy precip near Elizabeth/Newark - another Flash Flood Warning there FFW from KOKX
  12. NEG NAO
    took less them 10 minutes for that too pop thats why these type of storms are dangerous especially if you are walking outside and have no place to take shelter quick as these are capable of CTG lightning which we have experienced today already
  13. NEG NAO
    storms are beginning to develop over central and north jersey and points to the southwest moving northeast
  14. NEG NAO
    Once this batch exits the area southwest to northeast wouldn't be surprised to see the skies partially clear which will lead to more heating and instability and storms
  15. NEG NAO
    there is a big hole in the precip field in north central NJ right now
  16. NEG NAO
    the problem with that is the heavy rains are breaking up and spreading out as they move north - just was issued a Severe warning after that CTG strike here - I like how Mount Holly issues warnings after the fact SVR from KPHI
  17. NEG NAO
    Just had a CTG strike in NE Middlesex County NJ
  18. NEG NAO
    No severe warnings for the batch in Central NJ YET
  19. NEG NAO
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0630_radar.gif They call off the Mets game yet ? Difficult to call off since its the Brewers last game here this year
  20. NEG NAO
    Storm over Staten Island went Severe - still no Watches update Watch just issued WWUS from KWNS SVR from KOKX
  21. NEG NAO
    Flash Flood Warning NE Jersey FFW from KOKX
  22. NEG NAO
    still no severe watch issued even though radar is showing storms and individual warnings southwest of us along with Flash Flood Warnings
  23. NEG NAO
    Radar is showing storms beginning to pop up fast southwest of us - expecting a Watch soon IMO
  24. NEG NAO
  25. NEG NAO
    will be coolest night in quite a while without having to use a fan and or AC
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