NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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# 1 threat with these storms this afternoon is the wind - usually strongest right at the beginning of the storm unless one is in an MCS complex where it lasts most of the storm
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Slight Risk of Severe has been expanded by SPC east into our area - also that area of showers/storms in eastern PA is not the main event - look further west in eastern Ohio - also expect additional pop ups to develop starting at some point this afternoon when the atmosphere has had enough and needs to develop storms........who gets what and where lines of storms develop is the # 1 question
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we have returned to previous days pattern after a one day storm break yesterday - showers already moving this way from central PA - nothing severe YET. UPDATE : One just turned severe few minutes after I made this post SVR from KCTP
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and the rest of the atmosphere primed and ready for another potential severe outbreak.......
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and your point ?
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its August 9th NOT September 9th = according to the Calendar The halfway point of summer was only a few days ago
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yes but no storms because the upper atmosphere is dryer and unfavorable for development - that will change tomorrow. Not much dryer down here at the surface very uncomfortable
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good idea the atmosphere is still primed and ready had a CTG lightning strike at the western edge of the precip with the sun out temp dropped from 90 to76
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True - todays are taking 5 minutes to pop up and produce heavy rains another fast popper near south Old Bridge
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winds picking up here near North Edison/Colonia/Iselin temps will be dropping too at northern edge of system over South Edison/ Sayreville
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I am wondering if these 2 are going to merge in central NJ - this turning out like yesterday but about 2 hours earlier
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that one is further north west and is going to hit Piscataway and South Plainfield these 2 are moving northeast
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same here about 10 miles east of you - it just went severe heading up the Turnpike - route 1 and 27 SVR from KPHI
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Pop up moderate to heavy showers now in North Central NJ
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as the storms over southeast PA keep moving east - northeast they are starting to become severe and there are other fast pop ups developing further north towards Allentown
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Possibly - but what other pop up storms will develop ? SPC has updated slight risk further north into Conn.
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start the cookout early and move it inside early precip is already in south central PA moving east - northeast
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Todays storms might have better potential. The sun is out already and the atmosphere is going to heat up again and support the convection already on radar in western PA SPC has central , southern and western NJ is marginal risk area just west of the immediate coast. UPDATE -SLIGHT RISK NOW AND EXPANDED - MAP JUST UPDATED !
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what are the water temps in the Sound and the Atlantic ? Any convection with it ?
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No Flood Watch yet but almost guaranteed there will be individual flood warnings issued - IMO someone will receive over 1 -2 inches of rain
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WWUS from KWNS
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no grahics or discussion yet
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no watch here yet - BUT they are experiencing severe weather in Central PA with a line developing and a watch was never issued for them
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clear blue skies and no smoke like the previous northwest flow heat waves,,,,,,,,,,,
