Jump to content

NEG NAO

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,930

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    no one was expecting the April 1982 Blizzard after a mild period previous to the storm A Severe April Blizzard Stunned The Northeast in 1982 | NY NJ PA Weather
  2. NEG NAO
    agree we don't have any idea this far away the details about how this storm is going to actually track and redevelop way too early for those details.........
  3. NEG NAO
    but the GFS and CMC have it cold enough aloft at 850 at hour 204 as I illustrated a couple posts above - and we already have had a storm this winter with ratio;s closer to 5:1 and surface above freezing
  4. NEG NAO
    the CMC even has it cold enough at 850 when the GFS shows snow But the surface is above freezing
  5. NEG NAO
    the reason the GFS is showing snow here is that the storm redevelops off the coast and 850 below freezing but the surface temps are above freezing
  6. NEG NAO
    if we experience mainly south - southwest flow and primarily winds from that direction at various levels of the atmosphere or an onshore flow the same smoky sky conditions if the fires develop in Canada will not reach our area as much as last years flow allowed it too......
  7. NEG NAO
    there will be 1 -2 day windows for frozen in March and early April just like many winters .
  8. NEG NAO
    lol - no real warm weather is in site yet............
  9. NEG NAO
    So now we can expect at least a few more opportunities for frozen precip here March and April........looking at the 0Z GFS - it is possible IMO
  10. NEG NAO
    Is this the main reason NYC has only 7.5 inches total snowfall this winter and surrounding metro areas have more and much more in other areas including mine with close to 2 feet so far this season and we are south of the city?
  11. NEG NAO
    You can add Newark to that list they seem to always be warmer then every other location sometimes.......
  12. NEG NAO
    I don't think we have been experiencing the lower then normal seasonal snowfall region wide long enough to come to any decisive conclusions. I agree about "too warm". What happens with the snowfall theory when we get another 5 - 10 year period of above normal ? And as witnessed this season so far that might not include NYC Central Park because there are numerous factors affecting its ability to accumulate snow .............
  13. NEG NAO
    Do you think they were saying that back in the early 1950's and the 1980's ? monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf (weather.gov)
  14. NEG NAO
    Easter is on March 31st this year - "I'm dreaming of a White Easter"........
  15. NEG NAO
    and melted a few more inches of snow - now left with less then 2 inches and many bare spots
  16. NEG NAO
    the last storm was not a big storm it was a weak fast moving mid lat. storm that had a couple of heavier bands. There was enough cold air because that Thursday night LP to the north passed and dragged in just enough cold this coming system late week setup is similar but the players are not in the same spot as before as of now......all about timing
  17. NEG NAO
    yes I saw that - that low needs to be further east just like the other night dragging down cold air in back of it to set the stage for the follow up storm.....
  18. NEG NAO
    this month will end up with avg temps much above normal and snowfall above normal in some areas in NJ especially
  19. NEG NAO
    same here many bare spots showing up here - and temps above freezing 37 degrees at 1:30 pm
  20. NEG NAO
    how did you get to 24.5 ?? I am only a few miles from you got 9" yesterday bringing my total to 17".........
  21. NEG NAO
    i am 10 miles east of their and the same result here - combination of snow settling - sun melting it above freezing all day and wind - by mid week most of it will be gone except for shady areas and snow piles........
  22. NEG NAO
    0Z EURO - perfect storm track with no cold air in place prior - need the storm to slow down west of us and cold air get here first
  23. NEG NAO
    true - a week from right now not a trace left unless the late week system delivers more snow which doesn't look likely as of now........
  24. NEG NAO
    who else lost at least half of their snow cover today ?- started with 8 1/2 inches down to 3 -4 with bare spots showing up surrounding larger trees........
  25. NEG NAO
    models are all over the place for this late week event - still a work in progress with timing issues but cold enough air close by
×
×
  • Create New...