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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. ok I wrote that down you said 6 -12 tops - we should have a snowfall accumulation contest
  2. agreed - makes one nauseous reading some of these Doom and Gloom - Debbie Downer posts about a little sleet mixing in cutting the double digit accumulation down a couple inches...I am not going to get involved in that nonsense . THINK POSITIVE !
  3. lets see if those recon flights had any affect on the Euro - didn't seem to make much of a difference with the other models at 12Z
  4. really left their options open - 6 inches to over a foot- BIG DIFFERENCE
  5. snowfall maps at this range are a waste of time and can be dangerous - think about it...........
  6. and the # 1 finer details are the snow-sleet-ice-rain lines
  7. true untill later Friday it started trending west - so still time for adjustments
  8. it amazes me how folks are trying to determine the finer details of this storm such as where the mix line will end up and then give total snowfall and ice amounts when the storm doesn't even begin till Sunday morning . FYI none of us have no idea..
  9. Maybe there is a cutoff time in the evening when the data has to be delivered to whoever inputs it into the models- I have no idea how that works do you?
  10. if the low transfers to the coast that far south we will have all snow IMO
  11. why and where ? and what evidence do you have to back up that statement other than warm model runs 3 days in advance of the storm ?
  12. Paul Dorian of Arcfield Weather just mentioned that this new data won't be in the model runs till 12Z today.
  13. only when the high to the north is NOT as strong and anchored like this weekends will be - this is a Miller B setup redevelopment off the coast sooner then later
  14. and what changed in the model output with this additional input ?
  15. the more actual ice - sleet etc and rain make the snow much heavier to shovel - high ratio snow can actually be removed with a powerful leaf blower if you keep up with it from when it starts accumulating
  16. Notice that Mt. Holly's Winter Storm Watches only include mixing in their southern zones WSW from KPHI
  17. impactful because its going to affect a significant amount of the population many in a negative way.....
  18. 18Z so far concentrates on the weak secondary but looks like a strung out mess - no mixing concerns here
  19. wheres the mixing colors ? just snow and rain ?
  20. True with the ground so cold also we don't want to get any freezing rain - that could be a nightmare - the folks down south are hoping they don't experience that - no fun living without electric in this weather
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