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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. looks like it might be right with this 2nd one coming through sooner then later moving fast even though a watch was issued
  2. Bark is worse then the bite right now north of Harrisburg -no warnings north of Harrisburg - many warnings below Harrisburg Severe Weather Warnings Page
  3. Weather Underground is not that reliable some of those stations have crazy low or high numbers. Seems like the line in central - eastern PA is splitting no warnings in the northern half above Harrisburg
  4. is the dew point from your weather station ? I looked on Weather Underground and there is a wide range of dew points from 65 up to 75 area wide
  5. SPC just issued the Watch - we will see the line continues to weaken in central PA - guess its better to be safe then sorry WWUS from KWNS
  6. agreed - too many power outages in the area and too many close calls with CTG lightning strikes and the flooding
  7. seems like the line is weakening west of us BUT the AFD mentioned this and said it will probably restrengthen - I think they are waiting to see it it does before issuing a Watch here
  8. main line comes through this evening BUT some areas MIGHT experience a pop up storm prior IMO
  9. its shrinking as it moves east - also there are no severe warnings with it SPC about 2 hours ago thought a watch was possible but no watch has been issued
  10. # 1 threat with these storms this afternoon is the wind - usually strongest right at the beginning of the storm unless one is in an MCS complex where it lasts most of the storm
  11. Slight Risk of Severe has been expanded by SPC east into our area - also that area of showers/storms in eastern PA is not the main event - look further west in eastern Ohio - also expect additional pop ups to develop starting at some point this afternoon when the atmosphere has had enough and needs to develop storms........who gets what and where lines of storms develop is the # 1 question
  12. we have returned to previous days pattern after a one day storm break yesterday - showers already moving this way from central PA - nothing severe YET. UPDATE : One just turned severe few minutes after I made this post SVR from KCTP
  13. and the rest of the atmosphere primed and ready for another potential severe outbreak.......
  14. and your point ?
  15. its August 9th NOT September 9th = according to the Calendar The halfway point of summer was only a few days ago
  16. yes but no storms because the upper atmosphere is dryer and unfavorable for development - that will change tomorrow. Not much dryer down here at the surface very uncomfortable
  17. good idea the atmosphere is still primed and ready had a CTG lightning strike at the western edge of the precip with the sun out temp dropped from 90 to76
  18. True - todays are taking 5 minutes to pop up and produce heavy rains another fast popper near south Old Bridge
  19. winds picking up here near North Edison/Colonia/Iselin temps will be dropping too at northern edge of system over South Edison/ Sayreville
  20. I am wondering if these 2 are going to merge in central NJ - this turning out like yesterday but about 2 hours earlier
  21. that one is further north west and is going to hit Piscataway and South Plainfield these 2 are moving northeast
  22. same here about 10 miles east of you - it just went severe heading up the Turnpike - route 1 and 27 SVR from KPHI
  23. Pop up moderate to heavy showers now in North Central NJ
  24. as the storms over southeast PA keep moving east - northeast they are starting to become severe and there are other fast pop ups developing further north towards Allentown
  25. Possibly - but what other pop up storms will develop ? SPC has updated slight risk further north into Conn.
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