NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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what about the heavy T- storms tomorrow and Friday with possible flooding downpours ?
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and it might go from 62 to close to 100 by Friday -BUT great uncertainty in the Upton Key Messages Forecast Discussion - got your tickets for the Temperature Roller Coaster ride ? AFD from KOKX
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that strong easterly fetch is bringing in moisture as drizzle here not being picked up by the radar 67 degrees - July is promising a roller coaster ride of temps will be over 90 by Friday - ridiculous.........
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like those roads never flooded before - maybe they should spend some of our tax $$ upgrading whats causing the drainage issues............
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the radar echoes are once again moving in different directions across the region on radar - down along the NJ coast south of Asbury Park - moving south to north - north and west of there moving west to east - interesting - aslo these pop up area of flooding rain develop very quickly
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don't know but they should start proof reading their warnings after released
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you have a chance of flooding rain very soon - Flood Warning says between 2 - 32 inches -lol FFW from KPHI problem today is these areas of heavy rain just develop very quickly
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radar is strange now with that stationary front laying across southern NJ individual cells are moving in different directions across the region
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This may be similar to last July 14 , 2025 T-storms/Heavy Rains in Central NJ which delivered over 5+ inches - than the rest of the summer was very dry
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yes -there is a dry slot west of the city till you get to State College and those storms near Harrisburg look to miss to the south - only wildcard is whether others pop up as the new radar 5 minute update showed more developing north of Harrisburg moving east
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the Macy's fireworks can't be held off because of tv schedules and advertising during them
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and more approaching State College which might reach here later and others popping up near Harrisburg - Atmosphere will develop more pop ups as it is played out....too hot and humid
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Watch was extended into NYC and now all 21 NJ counties Radar looks like storms will arrive right around fireworks time and last a few hours from DC through Boston .
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If someone can post a pic of both stations and their surrounding area everyone will understand why
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How this translates to winter is anyones guess especially if the warmer water centers in region 3/4 mid Pacific Ocean and is considered a Modoki El Nino at that time IMO
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Kind of weird that portions of NE New Jersey and NYC are not included in the watch - ( doesn't mean though that there won't be any heavy rains wind and lightning.).........which may give some folks a false sense of security when outdoors later
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Severe Watch Issued 3:30 PM - ( 5 minutes later than yesterday's FWIW...) WWUS from KWNS
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its not too bad if you are sitting drinking water but once you start walking around it feels like a sauna - no messages yet from SPC about any possible watches as of noon - also yesterday the temp here dropped from 102 to 72 after the storm - expect something similar today later - yeterday"s Watch was released at 3:25 PM
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I doubt they will even do that because of TV schedules - but chances are there will not be anything severe over that particular area of the Hudson at the exact time the fireworks are scheduled
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they already said it will not be cancelled - too many $$ involved...........
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should be very interesting online here later today - hopefully news outlets will keep people updated because of how many people will be outdoors today - last night's storms were down right dangerous with the high winds.
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Not Good - especially for areas with no power now
