NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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yes the rain should be mostly over by Monday but if you are implying this will end the drought - think again Upton only going for less than 3 inches overall more south than north AFD from KOKX
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A few hours of showers once or twice a week will not reverse this long term drought.
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click on fronts here and you can see the front is getting closer to us from the northwest already cleared NW Jersey - looks like areas south of I-78 get the most severe storms WunderMap® | Interactive Weather Map and Radar | Weather Underground
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No mention - just straight line winds where the most severe storms occur - which is yet to be determined BUT at the looks of radar and where the front is now central and south NJ along with Philly look to be most likely IMO
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WWUS from KWNS Severe T- Storm watch NYC- NJ and other parts of region WOUS from KWNS
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SWO from KWNS
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WWUS from KWNS Watch issued Mid -Atlantic south of here
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SWO from KWNS Severe Watch needed soon in Mid-Atlantic
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Going to be interesting to see how much severe weather actually develops here this afternoon as the front is already moving east fast and runs from Milford PA southwest down to around Harrisburg with no mesoscale discussions or any severe watches/warnings anywhere-AS OF 12 NOON RWR from KCTP SPC Products Page
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Any guesses on how much precip we will receive tomorrow region wide?
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and that strong late spring sun and hot temps will dry things out further worsening the drought - moderate to severe in many places already.....
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a couple of small puddles here probably less than a tenth here,.Precip on radar mainly from extreme eastern NJ and points east. patches of blue sky approaching from the west on the Satellite images and observed here in north central NJ
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The line of showers is once again weakening as it moves east into the metro - lets see if it ends up stalling out as some guidance suggests once it is over the metro - really need the rain.....
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what does that have to do with the 6 -10 day map I posted ?
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Summer is on the way
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Step 4 would be a displaced Polar Vortex caused by SSW which played a huge role in the extended cold snowy outbreak(s) this past winter. Also the colder than normal persistent sea surface temps off the coast would help.
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IMO odds favor the colder/snowier 2026 -2027 Winter as other factors that helped create last winters below normal temps will repeat next winter.
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Line is shrinking in width and coverage as it moves east and is picking up speed should be east of most of the region by evening - this has been the trend lately and the drought conditions are getting worse - lawns are very dry and not growing as fast as usual this time of Spring
