NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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probably won't have the same solution at 0Z
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This is about the best solution we can hope for if you want a snowstorm here - takes a LP from Colorado moves it directly east while a HP travels across Canada and sets up shop in southeast Canada blocking the LP from cutting - then another LP develops down south moving Northeast - too good to be true though IMO
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looks healthier down south of the Mason Dixon line moving towards VA
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how old is that system ?
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I would assume only th green echoes are actually reaching the ground ? RWR from KCTP
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Anyone who has Fire TV try the MyRadar app - its accurate - can zoom in to street level and not overdone. No noise. Updates every 5 minutes
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light meaning snow and rain and above freezing according to Upton
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when does Upton get the message ? They have rain in their forecast next week
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Just another solution that has little support from any other model - I don't question the track though since all the blocking to the north will prevent cutters through next week at least
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its impossible to determine the exact setup that will be in place the middle and end of next week - models are inaccurate at that range
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still 10 days away chances it will verify are low at this point
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it probably will not verify because its 228 hours away
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believe it or not the snow is also being absorbed into the warmer grass/dirt underneath which has been very dry and needs the liquid thus reducing the snow pack- thats why my basement sump pump is still going off at least a few times a day
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its been like that most of the winter except in early January - models allow the warming to reach us in the longer range then when we get closer and closer to it they reduce its impact here
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Better ask the bosses.........
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Models are all signaling that there will be a winter storm(s) coming up in the next week or 2 - IMO there is a good chance most of the region receives at least 6 inches total for the month.
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Odds favor at least a few above average March snowfalls the rest of the way through the decade - maybe 1 or more much above normal.
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you should have said "Not saying this will even appear on the 0Z run" - not that there is anything wrong with that...
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relaxing from an extreme cold period and just going back to closer to normal for a few days before the next shorter extreme cold period beginning later this week. After that is anyone's guess IMO
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Euro snow hole
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why is Newark 36 and Millville 30 at 2 PM ? RWR from KOKX
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Central Park at 31 at 1 PM RWR from KOKX
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some forecasters were mentioning it would fall below 0 in this current extended arctic outbreak - this next one over the weekend will last only a couple days so odds of Central Park going below zero as of today are not favorable IMO -suburban locations have a better chance - plus where is the thermometer they use located and how much snow cover is left there ?
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I didn't realize the low 30's was 35 degrees - even if it reached 35 for a couple of hours then dipped into the 20's in the evening there would be very little snow melt - and thats the forecast for the entire week - low 30's for highs ZFP from KOKX
