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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    dry slots are unpredictable till they happen - just like the central NJ banding during last Feb 16 -17 storm last year
  2. NEG NAO
    any maps or data ?
  3. NEG NAO
    Snow storm, January 11-12, 2011 - Storm Summary a fast moving storm also
  4. NEG NAO
    Eastern Bergen ,Eastern Essex and eastern Union should also be under warnings especially since they mention some areas could get 6 inches - they are cutting it to close IMO
  5. NEG NAO
    IMO Somerset , Middlesex and Mercer Counties which currently only have advisories for 3 - 5 have a 50/50 chance of being upgraded to warnings close to the start of the storm.......
  6. NEG NAO
    the entire region ??
  7. NEG NAO
    So he thinks all snow everywhere.........CMC gives LI mostly liquid
  8. NEG NAO
    sounds good - so what is your analysis of next weeks pattern - care to share ?
  9. NEG NAO
    I think its the same storm but with timing differences plus the GFS at 240 hours is not reliable
  10. NEG NAO
    CMC shows storm potential later next week too far out for specifics
  11. NEG NAO
    the 540 line on the CMC is east of us not plain rain plus track of low is probably too far west after the arctic frontal passage also GFS farther east
  12. NEG NAO
    for some reason I can't post Tropical Tidbits maps here BUT Pivotal maps I can
  13. NEG NAO
    06Z GFS has a snow - heavy rain storm here which wasn't even shown on yesterdays 12Z
  14. NEG NAO
    with GFS least reliable model past 60 hours
  15. NEG NAO
    CMC VS. GFS
  16. NEG NAO
    Beginning to think there will be 2 "thread the needle" east coast snow storms next week - Euro and Canadian same idea
  17. NEG NAO
    of course you can say that day 9 is each models biggest downfall and also anybody making predictions regarding Day 9 is their biggest downfall...
  18. NEG NAO
    How can you discount the Euro solution 9 days out ? IMO this has as much of a chance of verifying as what your saying has....
  19. NEG NAO
    Can't hang your hat on any solution right now ............work in progress....
  20. NEG NAO
    2 weeks away ?? Lets start a 1/27 thread-lol
  21. NEG NAO
    there is a possibility this will turn into a minor event early next week similar to the last few - also the drought is continuing with little precip this month 0.10 inch at CP Norm 1.45
  22. NEG NAO
  23. NEG NAO
  24. NEG NAO
    This is a litttle odd the 12Z Euro develops a LP southwest of us on the 19th moving NE and the 06Z GFS does the same delivering a snow event BUT the 12Z GFS doesn't have it
  25. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro is too far off the coast and 0Z Canadian is inland with mixing issues here
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