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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
  2. NEG NAO
    What are Northern Mid-Atlantic and New England in the dark blue for ? its not clear if its the cold or snow or both
  3. NEG NAO
    Freezing rain all the way down to the central South Carolina coast ? really ?
  4. NEG NAO
    Thanks - I also like your discussion write up in the new thread - very well written.
  5. NEG NAO
    Lets not forget this weekend is the 10th Anniversary of the January 2016 Blizzard January 22-24, 2016 Blizzard
  6. NEG NAO
    Euro was late to the show for this past weekend event too. Kept showing out to sea.........up until Friday
  7. NEG NAO
    well Feb 2010 had 36.9 in NYC so anything is possible
  8. NEG NAO
    Snow storm, February 5-6, 2010 - Storm Summary
  9. NEG NAO
    I was over at Ray's archives and there were 5 snowstorms listed in Feb. 2010 - which one you talking about ?
  10. NEG NAO
    you forgot about the 20 inch la la land it has shown from previous storms this season
  11. NEG NAO
    The other positive even if it trends north we don't have to worry about temps probably
  12. NEG NAO
    Ratio's will be higher with these temps
  13. NEG NAO
    I am showing 24hr liquid because of higher ratio's and its 100% snow - do the fiquring for your location at say 10:1 15:1 or 20:1 ?
  14. NEG NAO
    I wouldn't want to be exactly in the bullseye this far out anyways - and even the northern edge will have higher than normal snowfall ratio's.
  15. NEG NAO
    regular GFS is usually suppressed or over amped at this range its Al version is supposed to be an improved version of the model
  16. NEG NAO
    with snowfall ratio's higher than 10:1 probably
  17. NEG NAO
    I bet Don has the answer to that one - or go back to Rays archive of storms which I plan on looking at once I get done shoveling......
  18. NEG NAO
    you should start the weekend storm thread ASAP not just because of the snow threat BUT also the incredible arctic airmass that will be in place starting later this week through the weekend.....and once we get past a certain number of pages break it up into part 2 - part 3 etc. etc. like we did for the 2010 Boxing day storm who's thread was started well in advance
  19. NEG NAO
    its not going to take much liquid equivalent over the weekend to create a SECS or MECS because temps in the single digits and or teens during the precip will cause very high snowfall ratios
  20. NEG NAO
    the most important factor is how these indexes and their strength is going to affect the path of the storms across the country regarding the strength and position of various pressure systems.......
  21. NEG NAO
    -6 850's area is one and HRRR guidance is another
  22. NEG NAO
  23. NEG NAO
    Thats why NWS has accumulations for tomorrow at 2 -4 inches and they hinted at more in localized areas in heavier bands.......Eastern NJ and points east
  24. NEG NAO
    check out your local NWS Upton County forecasts
  25. NEG NAO
    we started doing that during the Boxing Day storm Dec 26th 2010 which we were tracking for a week or more at least - go back and take a look at it
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