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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    This events totals are beginning to look similar to the Sunday Feb. 7 storm many areas got between 6 and 8 - some a little more some a little less throughout the metro....
  2. NEG NAO
    my point was and I put in bold print that he thinks its possible some areas get up to a foot - and now it seems after each model cycle of most runs the amounts increase - question now is how much of that is snow ..........
  3. NEG NAO
    Walt mentioned this morning "517A: A nice solution coming (overall colder and snowier than what modeling was generally offering Friday the 12th) with a range of accumulations of 1" to possibly as much as a foot in the upper high end scenario. "
  4. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian track similar to GFS and EURO
  5. NEG NAO
    Euro and GFS similar track now--close to benchmark
  6. NEG NAO
  7. NEG NAO
    from central NJ north mainly frozen - I don't know if I buy the heavier snow in south jersey
  8. NEG NAO
  9. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro - taking Benchmark track now
  10. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro is interesting storm center is still in Southern Alabama and the HP is holding strong just north of New England - precip already this far north
  11. NEG NAO
  12. NEG NAO
    i don't see any timestamp on this map
  13. NEG NAO
    This is a repeat bust here so far in north central NJ IMO - just like Saturday was currently have a advisory in place but nothing is happening and temps above freezing here......
  14. NEG NAO
    12Z Canadian SECS or Borderline MECS in south jersey - still a long way to go IMO....work in progress situation
  15. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS - FWIW doesn't make much sense to me
  16. NEG NAO
  17. NEG NAO
    I agree 100% BUT won't hop on that train till after today's midday runs and see if they keep trending towards a colder more east track offshore keeping the cold enough air locked in. And also if that 50/50 block keeps the HP in place long enough.
  18. NEG NAO
    How come you didn't mention the 0Z EURO? - I would have but I hit the sack before it ran . That model is further east and has WSW level snow potential -
  19. NEG NAO
    In this situation as SnowGoose mentioned previously the Tuesday storm is acting as the 50/50 preventing the cold arctic HP from escaping north and east. Look at the CMC that HP really doesn't move much the entire event. This prevents the LP from cutting west and it ends up staying south and east of us the entire event. Actually the CMC has the best snows across central and southern NJ
  20. NEG NAO
    I think its possible as SnowGoose just mentioned the Tuesday storm is acting as a 50/50
  21. NEG NAO
  22. NEG NAO
    That HP North of New England is being blocked forcing redevelopment of the LP
  23. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS
  24. NEG NAO
    that fresh intrusion of arctic air just before the next storm perfect timing yes melting Tuesday and a skating rink Wednesday and then 4 - 6 inches as of now on top of that
  25. NEG NAO
    Euro snow map looks similar to the GFSv16
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