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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS - FWIW doesn't make much sense to me
  2. NEG NAO
  3. NEG NAO
    I agree 100% BUT won't hop on that train till after today's midday runs and see if they keep trending towards a colder more east track offshore keeping the cold enough air locked in. And also if that 50/50 block keeps the HP in place long enough.
  4. NEG NAO
    How come you didn't mention the 0Z EURO? - I would have but I hit the sack before it ran . That model is further east and has WSW level snow potential -
  5. NEG NAO
    In this situation as SnowGoose mentioned previously the Tuesday storm is acting as the 50/50 preventing the cold arctic HP from escaping north and east. Look at the CMC that HP really doesn't move much the entire event. This prevents the LP from cutting west and it ends up staying south and east of us the entire event. Actually the CMC has the best snows across central and southern NJ
  6. NEG NAO
    I think its possible as SnowGoose just mentioned the Tuesday storm is acting as a 50/50
  7. NEG NAO
  8. NEG NAO
    That HP North of New England is being blocked forcing redevelopment of the LP
  9. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS
  10. NEG NAO
    that fresh intrusion of arctic air just before the next storm perfect timing yes melting Tuesday and a skating rink Wednesday and then 4 - 6 inches as of now on top of that
  11. NEG NAO
    Euro snow map looks similar to the GFSv16
  12. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro
  13. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro
  14. NEG NAO
    its actually pushing the snow further south on 12Z compared to 6Z
  15. NEG NAO
  16. NEG NAO
    latest clown map from the v16 GFS
  17. NEG NAO
    Upton keeps it all mainly snow and sleet especially west of the Hudson majority of the event. The location and strength of the HP to the north through the entire event is the key player in this setup IMO..............
  18. NEG NAO
    0Z GFSv16
  19. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian
  20. NEG NAO
    Still nothing here in NJ radars drying up
  21. NEG NAO
    and right after I posted this the precip is developing rapidly southwest of here - lets see what happens with this batch....
  22. NEG NAO
    There was no need for a Winter Weather Advisory for the Upton NJ counties today - down here near Eastern Union County got exactly nothing so far and radar doesn't look promising .. going to be a rough week coming up for forecasters and some busts IMO in this messed up setup........
  23. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro
  24. NEG NAO
    the ice line is down to central NJ on the 12Z Euro
  25. NEG NAO
    question now is are we going to start trending back towards the colder solutions of a couple days ago ?? - last 2 storms started to trend back too their original solutions just before the storm began.......
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