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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
  2. NEG NAO
  3. NEG NAO
    12Z NAM
  4. NEG NAO
    0Z GEM
  5. NEG NAO
    04 Feb 2021) The GFSv16 and HRW FV3 are again unavailable due to data flow problems at NCEP.
  6. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS
  7. NEG NAO
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  10. NEG NAO
    My question is how amped and closer to the coast can this storm get before causing mixing or changeover issues along the coast especially ?
  11. NEG NAO
    I was talking about the balloons they only launch for the 0Z and 12Z runs which incorporate the most important new upper air data..........18Z and 06Z aren't as accurate with any other new data in them
  12. NEG NAO
    The 0Z and 12Z runs have the updated Radiosonde data which should deliver a more accurate model run then the previous 06Z and 18Z runs.......
  13. NEG NAO
    still adjusting left - just remember that 979 low on the coast south of us from the Sunday run of the EURO
  14. NEG NAO
    there is a chance the guidance might not be through adjusting west yet since it just began the last couple model cycles - remember the EURO was showing this a few days ago
  15. NEG NAO
    all aboard EURO at 12Z -this event is legit now IMO.......
  16. NEG NAO
    doesn't even look near - BUT that being said until some of these foreign based models get on board especially the Canadian and EURO I'm less then 50 % invested in this event right now.........
  17. NEG NAO
    start a thread here for next weekend 2/13-14- you are confusing matters here in this one - thanks......that being said I don't think Walt will be fully on board with this weekends event till the Canadian comes on board - and if the EURO is still out to sea at 12Z -well...........
  18. NEG NAO
    12Z GEFS precip
  19. NEG NAO
    The 12Z GEM misses the fuller phase
  20. NEG NAO
    still plenty of time for adjustments in the positioning of the precip field and intensity of............
  21. NEG NAO
    a 995 in that position has a fairly good chance of delivering here............
  22. NEG NAO
    late to the party maybe ???
  23. NEG NAO
    12Z NAM and 12Z GFS OP beginning to look very similar with position of LP - waiting for the Canadian....
  24. NEG NAO
  25. NEG NAO
    Yes - really interesting that yesterdays 12Z EURO it was really difficult to even tell if there was a storm was a storm out there ....and now expect that at todays 12Z it will be anywhere close to the 12Z NAM ???BUT a few days prior the EURO was the first model to pick up on a direct hit
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