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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. also high impact is defined differently for the weekend accumulations won't start till late Friday night
  2. you also tell people this still has a chance of not being high impact 72 hours out
  3. 6+ inches for this storm 4 days out - what based on the EURO ? No guarantee of 6 yet maybe 2 - 4 - higher amounts east
  4. better to be conservative with snowfall totals 4 days out and adjust as needed each remaining day
  5. have to keep the viewers returning - advertising high impact this far out only opens you up to criticism if we only get a light to moderate event .....
  6. WOULD being the keyword - what happens now after its downgrade who knows.........
  7. which 1978 storm ???? there were 2 - one in January and one in February .
  8. like Forky pointed out -"treat the Op as an ensemble member at this range"
  9. I agree 100 % with this statement made yesterday morning - also the key upper air disturbances that will help develop this coastal low are still far to the north and west - and we have to wait and see how the various guidance digests those as they move into range.........
  10. icon- gee what happened to the HECS ???
  11. well you are the boss here- never argue with the boss
  12. agree 100% anyone who even suggests this might be a HECS 4 - 5 days in advance has a lot to learn IMO...
  13. Its called leaving the door open to lesser amounts then some of Mondays models are advertising - a lot of people here are setting themselves up for major disappointment because of 1 days worth runs showing heavy amounts with 4 days still to go ........
  14. IMO we shouldn't expect much more then this at this point considering what this winter has delivered so far.....
  15. which would eliminate any chance of mixing..........
  16. still 5 days to go - thats a long long time in the modeling world....
  17. where is the rain/snow line ? looks similar to GFS almost benchmark track..
  18. yes as long as it doesn't come any further west - right now its a benchmark track
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