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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. I agree 100 % with this statement made yesterday morning - also the key upper air disturbances that will help develop this coastal low are still far to the north and west - and we have to wait and see how the various guidance digests those as they move into range.........
  2. icon- gee what happened to the HECS ???
  3. well you are the boss here- never argue with the boss
  4. agree 100% anyone who even suggests this might be a HECS 4 - 5 days in advance has a lot to learn IMO...
  5. Its called leaving the door open to lesser amounts then some of Mondays models are advertising - a lot of people here are setting themselves up for major disappointment because of 1 days worth runs showing heavy amounts with 4 days still to go ........
  6. IMO we shouldn't expect much more then this at this point considering what this winter has delivered so far.....
  7. which would eliminate any chance of mixing..........
  8. still 5 days to go - thats a long long time in the modeling world....
  9. where is the rain/snow line ? looks similar to GFS almost benchmark track..
  10. yes as long as it doesn't come any further west - right now its a benchmark track
  11. if Canadian shows what it did at 12Z chances improve significantly IMO
  12. The thing that bothers me the most about this weekend potential whatever is that Walt doesn't seem to be on board here in this thread in more ways than 1......
  13. because of what majority of guidance is currently advertising - so you must think we are getting a snowstorm next weekend.........
  14. you have been saying this storm after storm since November - look at other guidance and you will see how unfavorable the pattern really is - fast flow - no phasing - suppression all combined....
  15. But I wouldn't be surprised if this is close to what verifies
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