George BM

It's actually 968mb at the surface on that sonde... there's just no wind data at the very surface for some reason... so probably good for 967/966mb.

Have fun!... obviously ditto to what Mappy said above as well.

Any forum members chasing this?

Best of luck to your parents.

000 WTNT65 KNHC 271513 TCUAT5 Tropical Storm Idalia Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023 1015 AM CDT Sun Aug 27 2023 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... Observations from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Tropical Depression Ten has strengthened into Tropical Storm Idalia. The maximum winds are estimated to be 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. SUMMARY OF 1015 AM CDT...1515 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 85.8W ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES $$ Forecaster Pasch

97/68 currently at IAD tying the record high for today.

Looks like we have a chance of elevated convection/thunder w/ the main chances coming tonight/early tomorrow morning and again early Friday morning. NW-flow regime... elevated style.

This morning the air was uncomfortable for serious running, pre-dawn. Now it's only 5-7F warmer than it was during the 5am hour w/ dewpoints nearly 20F lower w/ the breeze making it feel like September. Overall, a fairly similar day to this past Friday. Currently IAD at 82/49.

Yeap. 000 WTNT33 KNHC 202053 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082023 500 PM AST Sun Aug 20 2023 ...TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORMS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA.. ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 67.1W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF ISLA SAONA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES .....

That's one advantage of living relatively isolated from others.

A little bit of everything for all preferences verbatim.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming out until 9pm for much of the area.

~1.45" in the gauge from yesterday. Brief gusts into the low 40s(mph) w/ the initial line... pedestrian IMBnFY.

This got lost in the severe tracking but that 12z GFS run for Friday the 18th was total lolism. Temps in the mid 80s+ at the crack of dawn w/ 110+F highs across the region during the afternoon. OBVIOUSLY 18z is more realistic with no Desert SW-like heat.

Going on 270 posts in the severe thread today w/ storms not even in the main region yet. Impressive winter-like activity.

IAD up to 89/74.

Tornado Watch for the region until 9pm.

It's actually from the same link you shared yesterday. Thanks for that, btw.

3,707 days. It's been a while.

June 13th, 2013.

...OH Valley to Mid-Atlantic to the southern Appalachians and Carolinas... Scattered showers and isolated storms are forecast to be ongoing over the OH Valley Monday morning with more widely spaced convection trailing west-southwest into the Mid South/Ozarks. Considerable cloud cover with northward extent over a large moist/warm sector will limit destabilization into portions of PA and north. Farther south, heating of a very moist boundary layer will yield a moderate to very unstable airmass (1500 to 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE) from PA southward into the southern Appalachians. Multiple bands and clusters will likely begin to develop towards midday over the upper OH Valley and central Appalachians. Less certain is convective timing over the TN Valley where a large spread of model solutions is currently depicted. Nonetheless, scattered thunderstorms will likely develop by early to mid afternoon and become quite extensive from northern AL/GA into PA/VA/WV/MD. A mix of semi-discrete cells and clusters are possible initially and a risk for all severe hazards is expected given favorable shear profiles for storm organization/low-level rotation. Upscale growth is expected as storms move into the northern VA/MD and Chesapeake Bay vicinity during the late afternoon/early evening where the wind risk will seemingly be maximized. Much of the activity will eventually move east of the Mid-Atlantic coast during the evening and areas farther south through the Carolina Piedmont and into the coastal plain. Fun sounding disco for this region.

45% Wind for tomorrow.

MJJ ONI: 0.8C (nearest tenth deg) MJJ RONI: 0.33C

Where are you now? Northern MD?

A band of relatively thick smoke is currently moving overhead. It looks like it's overcast and the sunlight is very dim and orangish.