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Cobalt

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Everything posted by Cobalt

  1. Cobalt
    The two will merge and usher in the new ice age, Day After Tomorrow style
  2. Cobalt
    Branches breaking due to wet nature of the snow according to my folks in McLean
  3. Cobalt
    BWI literally got 6.3 inches of snow nearly 11 years to the day - Feb 21st, 2015. Your superstitious view on late February warning-level snow is really just a byproduct of the fact that warning level snow at any time of winter is incredibly rare, but it also just isn't true.
  4. Cobalt
    Can confirm, went from light rain to sizeable snowflakes in the past 10 minutes.
  5. Cobalt
    He didn’t put work into it, it’s AI generated. If not the contours, then at the very least the base map is entirely AI.
  6. Cobalt
    The second this storm ends he'll be back in the La Nina thread. That or forecasting a Super El Nino next year. Book it
  7. Cobalt
    Y'all are gonna get walloped. Enjoy! Make a snowman.. or 19 of them.
  8. Cobalt
    Lol the NAM's gonna put down 2.0" QPF+ at BWI.. 1.5" at DCA
  9. Cobalt
    That's 0z lol
  10. Cobalt
    lol the HRRR has precip in the vicinity of the DC area from hour 15-48 (and counting)
  11. Cobalt
    got room for one more?
  12. Cobalt
    Best run since 6z, insane that the GFS keeps lobbing up these solutions. AI GFS improved also
  13. Cobalt
    Icon EPS is 0.9" QPF for DC. Substantial shift west from 18z. Some pretty tucked members in the mix.
  14. Cobalt
    To calm PSU's nerves hopefully.. Every model but the Euro (naturally, since it has yet to run at 0z) places the IVT West of DC. We can all rest easy.
  15. Cobalt
    Add the ICON to that list.. really just the RGEM and Euro need to display that configuration for the GFS to have nailed that synoptic setup well in advance.
  16. Cobalt
    That looks like the footprint of the IVT? Before today's NAM runs the only model pulling it that far west was the GFS. The other guidance joining in on that would be its ultimate victory.
  17. Cobalt
    A lot of that comes down to the initial advance of precip before the coastal takes over. Few of the other models are giving that much of a thought, and from the looks of it the HRRR is actually wetter with that batch than even the GFS.
  18. Cobalt
    Orange'd before the 0z suite comes in
  19. Cobalt
    He's the CEO of an umbrella manufacturing company.. he's covered
  20. Cobalt
    AI EPS has 1.0 QPF for DC
  21. Cobalt
    Yes, though that doesn't explain it being substantially wetter than most of the other guidance alongside its snow depiction. In fact, in recent storms outside of Jan '22, the GEFS is seemingly more often than not further south with its precip extent.
  22. Cobalt
    This was showing up in the CIPS analogs yesterday. Alongside it were March 2013, Jan 1987, March 2018 (the one which clipped the Eastern Shore and jumped to Boston), along with a few misses.
  23. Cobalt
    AI GFS is a tick back - 0.9" QPF for DC
  24. Cobalt
    lol it's 70 degrees here. If 10 degrees means blizzard for North Carolina, and 70 means blizzard for the Eastern Shore.. looks like I've gotta be 105F leading in?
  25. Cobalt
    precip is also substantially lighter when compared to 12k NAM, which probably explains the discrepancy in temperatures.
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