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AMZ8990

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Everything posted by AMZ8990

  1. AMZ8990
    I didn’t think about it from the leaf perspective, that’s a great point. And yeah central ark is gonna get a lotttt of rain. I’m only worried about tornados personally, people on the east side of this system need to be on the look out for that. The storm surge in some of the Louisiana coastal areas looks catastrophic, definitely gonna keep those folks in my prayers.
  2. AMZ8990
    I’m still thinking Arkansas takes the brunt of the tropical storm. Won’t take much to put west Tn in the mix though. Definitely something we need to keep a eye on
  3. AMZ8990
    4 weeks until fall y’all, We are getting closer!! Fun fact- in Memphis we’ve had four LA Niña winters since 2010. 3 of those 4 years produced measurable snow days. 1.8in on January 16th, 2018. 2.0in on January 6th, 2017. And 3.1in on February 11, 2011. January has been the best winter month for Memphis in La Niña setups over the last ten years statistically. ENSO neutral conditions have favored more December snows with 2 separate systems dropped .9in on December 26th, 2012, and a trace amount on December 30th, 2013. The daily snowfall record in Memphis of 14.3in also fell during a moderate La Niña on December 22, 1963. Long story short- La Niña winters are historically good for west Tn. Soon I’ll crunch some numbers and see how that translates to east and middle Tennessee winters.
  4. AMZ8990

    ENSO

    AMZ8990 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    That’s what it looking like right now, we’ve got a 60% chance of La Niña for the fall, and 55% chance of it persisting through the winter. And yeah definitely significant if it pans out, we do well in La Niña situations here snow wise. At least for Memphis, I need to look at the numbers for east Tn to see how they match up compared to the Memphis numbers.
  5. AMZ8990

    ENSO

    AMZ8990 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    Definitely looking like a La Niña brewing, what ya thinking @jaxjagman
  6. AMZ8990
    4 inches of rain has fallen in Bartlett since 8:00AM Wednesday to now. Feast or famine with these storms rolling through West Tennessee
  7. AMZ8990
    Me and you both brotha
  8. AMZ8990
    Fall is inching closer so I figured we could use a discussion thread for long term pattern changes and fall predictions. Hope everyone is doing well!
  9. AMZ8990
    Heavy rain last night for just about everybody In south west Tn. McNairy County has some real bad flooding today In Selmer as well.
  10. AMZ8990
    Nice. I hadn’t had a chance to look at it this morning so that is good to know.
  11. AMZ8990
    Thickening up now
  12. AMZ8990
    Yeah, Memphis National. And that’s cool, y’all got some beautiful courses out that way!
  13. AMZ8990
    Assistant Superintendent. We’ve got two 18 hole courses so I run one, and my superintendent runs the other course.
  14. AMZ8990
    Starting to get sleet accumulating on the greens at Work in Collierville
  15. AMZ8990
    Freezing rain: sleet starting to fall in east Memphis. Dew point is 28. Temp is at 38
  16. AMZ8990
    Light rain on the west side of the state this morning, looks like a hangover to snow soon bough, I’ll let y’all know how it pans out on the west side of the state this morning.
  17. AMZ8990
    Dad gummit, I hate when the NAM showing snow for me . Lol. It’s very much like swallowing a double edge sword
  18. AMZ8990
    Thanks brotha, I appreciate that
  19. AMZ8990
    Thanks for the heads up, haven’t had a chance to look at any models this morning cause of work. What’s the ICON’s track record??
  20. AMZ8990
    https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1222177223064551424?s=20
  21. AMZ8990
    When we want spring weather in March or early April, then we will all get some snow. I’m calling it now, lol. All this moisture is really saturating my golf course btw. I don’t know if it’s ever gonna dry out.
  22. AMZ8990
    Wow
  23. AMZ8990
    It took less than 12 hours for that theory to verify in west Tn. lol
  24. AMZ8990
    Light snow falling this morning as I head into Memphis for work.
  25. AMZ8990
    Had some serious thunder and some lighting come thru. Thought it was a tornado coming cause it was so loud, haven’t had that happen to me before. Outside of that nothing to out of the ordinary happened. Definitely some power in a few if those cells though
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