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AMZ8990

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Everything posted by AMZ8990

  1. AMZ8990
    12z GFS starting to move in line with the cmc in terms of cold air moving in after thanksgiving. LP swoops In and causes storms to rotate counter clock Wise From the Midwest down into Tennessee. Multiple storms have that counter clockwise rotation on modeling. Something fun to talk about at the very least, we will have to see how things progress over the next few days
  2. AMZ8990
    First frost of the year this morning in hardeman county!
  3. AMZ8990
    The pressure drop, I had saw on Twitter where someone in Chattanooga posted a MB chart and b pressure took HUGE nose dive towards the morning hours. Folks were complaining about it giving them a headache (old folks problems) here is the tweet though, could be BS. Just thought it was interesting when I read it https://twitter.com/MadSquire/status/1321851970227970058?s=20
  4. AMZ8990
    Did you notice the pressure drop this morning in Chattanooga, Jeff??
  5. AMZ8990
    You Chattanooga folks feeling the drop in pressure this morning? Saw where you guys bottomed out this morning in chatt around 6 am, was one steep drop off though.
  6. AMZ8990
    It’s crazy how large that storm was, lots of snow in eastern New Mexico and the Texas panhandle as well. Hate that Oklahoma got stuck with ice, that’s never fun.
  7. AMZ8990
    It was Chilly on the west side of the state today. Especially this morning
  8. AMZ8990
    This is off topic a bit but none the less. There is a meteor shower tonight, the Orionid meteor is its name. best time for viewing will be between midnight and dawn, with the most meteors per hour coming around 5am. So if you guys and gals are up tonight, check it out. The meteors will come from the east
  9. AMZ8990
    That’s interesting John, thanks for sharing.
  10. AMZ8990
    Screw that extended GFS but I could totally relate with Kansas football fans, y’all have had it pretty darn bad. But seriously, screw that extended GFS
  11. AMZ8990
    Heavy rain falling now in hardeman county, supposed to pick up around 1’-1.5’ today. Been raining steady the past 2 hours so we are on track it looks like
  12. AMZ8990
    Looks like some cooling temps in the extended forecast, we will have to see if that holds. I’m just glad we’re not enduring a torch fest like we were this time last year.
  13. AMZ8990
    4 weeks until fall y’all, We are getting closer!! Fun fact- in Memphis we’ve had four LA Niña winters since 2010. 3 of those 4 years produced measurable snow days. 1.8in on January 16th, 2018. 2.0in on January 6th, 2017. And 3.1in on February 11, 2011. January has been the best winter month for Memphis in La Niña setups over the last ten years statistically. ENSO neutral conditions have favored more December snows with 2 separate systems dropped .9in on December 26th, 2012, and a trace amount on December 30th, 2013. The daily snowfall record in Memphis of 14.3in also fell during a moderate La Niña on December 22, 1963. Long story short- La Niña winters are historically good for west Tn. Soon I’ll crunch some numbers and see how that translates to east and middle Tennessee winters.
  14. AMZ8990

    ENSO

    AMZ8990 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    That’s what it looking like right now, we’ve got a 60% chance of La Niña for the fall, and 55% chance of it persisting through the winter. And yeah definitely significant if it pans out, we do well in La Niña situations here snow wise. At least for Memphis, I need to look at the numbers for east Tn to see how they match up compared to the Memphis numbers.
  15. AMZ8990

    ENSO

    AMZ8990 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    Definitely looking like a La Niña brewing, what ya thinking @jaxjagman
  16. AMZ8990
    Me and you both brotha
  17. AMZ8990
    Fall is inching closer so I figured we could use a discussion thread for long term pattern changes and fall predictions. Hope everyone is doing well!
  18. AMZ8990
    Wow
  19. AMZ8990
    Had some serious thunder and some lighting come thru. Thought it was a tornado coming cause it was so loud, haven’t had that happen to me before. Outside of that nothing to out of the ordinary happened. Definitely some power in a few if those cells though
  20. AMZ8990
    Good stuff, guys. Hope y’all can get the full changeover and pick up some snow!!
  21. AMZ8990
    @jaxjagman did you see the pictures of multiple big trucks blown over on the Tennessee River Bridge I-40 in Decatur county. Looks like 4 or 5 guys had a rough day, wind gust atop the bridge must of been insane.
  22. AMZ8990
    I guess it’s a good thing that this system moved through just after sunrise instead of during the night. There’s a few neighborhoods that got hit pretty hard. I Have a friend in Memphis who sent me a picture, his neighbor had a enormous Oak tree fall thru the front of the house. Lots of power outages as well.
  23. AMZ8990
    Interesting morning in west TN today. Had multiple severe cells come thru, lots of rain and wind. Apparently Memphis had a tornado touch down around the cottonwood apartment complex area.
  24. AMZ8990
    I have a confirmed tornado on the ground 20 miles from my house right now. I’m under a tornado Warning until 1:30. I’ll keep you guys updated
  25. AMZ8990
    Penn state- that’s awesome man. I hope it went well for you guys!! Thanks for the update on the severe side of the spectrum.
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