LibertyBell

so they added 0.6" to the storm total?

so it's basically a transition period

I think I asked this before, how do you have a la nina background state with the oceans warming so much? Shouldnt all the oceans be steaming hot within the next few years? I cant wait until steam is rising from the Pacific.

we shouldn't believe any forecast of a pattern change until the pattern actually changes. It's really no different from 2001-02

from an airplane? nice view!

Speaking of which the sunrise yesterday was awesome and I can tell the days are getting longer because I no longer have to turn my lights on before 4:30! Now I turn them on at 4:45

Dude how could you weenie WALT ?!

and right under that he asks for money for his newsletter to cover that time period LOL Not a coincidence.

Jan 2002 was rather cold and we had a -nao for 3 weeks but the snowstorm went into the Carolinas.

whats caused that warm pool?

Chicago will just barely miss out on its longest period without measurable snow if they get any today. Three more days is all they needed. Weird to have Denver and Chicago at or near record levels in this category in the same year.

the -nao is useless it would be better if it was a +nao right now and we were in the 60s and the 70s. One, heating costs and two, 40s and 50s are useless and three, when the pattern does change the -nao time will probably be used up so we still wont get any snow.

more likely than not we'll have a super el nino within the next 2 years

if we get one 6 inch event this season we'll be lucky

I mean it would make more sense if storms that were suppressed and going to go south and east of here were now hitting the jersey shore and long island because of a stronger southeast ridge....the north trend on modeling seems to be real

2010-11 was also a great el nino to la nina and 2016-17 not bad either

yes I love the hot and dry combo, we had that in 1993 too and also in 2010

I remember we got like 1-2 inches or so out of storms that seemed like they would be major for us.

several things active tropical season yes but also the fact that so many of those storms recurved without hitting the east coast that seems to be an important factor in determining storm tracks also the very hot and very dry summer compared to 1933-34 in many respects 2010-11 was another unusual winter we had to reach far back for analogs to that one like 1916-17

according to Ray he reads messages but hasn't responded

I was 8 and thats my first snowstorm memory I remember it so clearly I woke up to see it at 3 am when it first started falling and then saw it fall all day. The snow stuck around all week and there was another snow event the following weekend.

suppression the snow went south of us

la ninas after el ninos may be our best winters of them all

epo driven both winters?

that early February 2010 storm was maddening-- Toms River got two feet of snow and they're what, 50 miles from us? Do you have any snowfall data for the Jersey shore from that winter that shows where the sweet spot was that winter that got directly hit by all the snowstorms? The late Feb storm was the only one in which NYC jackpotted so I'm wondering if there was a spot on the coast that did well in that storm as well as the early Feb storm too. There was also a late Jan storm that dropped 6-8 near Toms River and we got nothing