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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. thats why many are gungho on the first third of January, there are plenty of historic examples to choose from
  2. sounds like one of those typical 80s storms where Monmouth jackpotted on 2/25..do you have numbers for JFK from that storm? I would expect something like 4"?
  3. did you get to see it later? it was supposed to be clear tonight, no idea where these nonsense clouds came from, there isn't even a storm nearby
  4. how much in that 4/10 event? and what was the biggest event that season and on what date did it occur? thanks
  5. thats what I was expecting.... we'll have our shot after New Years
  6. Yep and even this Jupiter/Saturn conjunction happens every 20 years but we haven't seen the last few "great" ones because they happened during daylight.
  7. hey Chris, could you also post E PA as I'll be there for the holidays I see 65-69....will the hilltops be seeing higher winds? And is that 74 hurricane force gusts for JFK? wow
  8. that should be GOA though not GOM. There's a guy in that thread named Jim Hughes, why does that name sound familiar?
  9. that was an actual occultation? I want to simulate it in Starry Night! when is the next going to happen? The cool thing about a Jupiter/Saturn occultation would be seeing the satellite systems of both (and Saturn's rings) "intermingle"
  10. chances of this becoming a "strong" la nina though have greatly diminished.
  11. I didn't even know that could actually happen lol. I'd settle for a nice lunar occultation of either Jupiter or Saturn or both in the same night ;-) Do you have any numbers for when that might happen next?
  12. where does the warming state of the planet fit into this.....parts of the north pac have been scorching all season.
  13. Walt, I'm going to be in NEPA for this and it looks like that area will also see 60 mph gusts, especially at 2000 ft where I'll be.
  14. keeping it more in the weak to low end moderate range would be far better for our wintry prospects, as some epic snowfall seasons have had that combo. and as you yourself said, Don, AO/NAO impacts our winters far more than anything else does.
  15. best indicators for this time of the year since 1995-96 and 2010-11
  16. right and these competing patterns end up being more important than ENSO itself. I'd also be curious to see the impact of the background warming state, as the Pacific warms, we may see more of these so-called "nino type" patterns in other ENSO conditions also. That's why it's a misnomer to consider them "ENSO type" patterns when other influences are obviously more important, especially the background warming state and the predilection of blocking.
  17. Chris, what's your opinion of the New Year's Day possible storm? I see that as still being a bit too soon for a big wintry storm here, maybe more of a mix to rain scenario. The "big one" (if it does occur) should be in early January, perhaps in the Jan 5-10 range.
  18. Both are either rain or mix/change scenarios, I think the "real deal" will happen a few days after New Years.
  19. hmm I thought the next one would be a few days after new years? I always get nervous when storms are spaced so close together....that usually doesn't work out.
  20. 2080 actually or you can just look tonight they'll be almost as close as they were last night and it should be clear
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