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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. I'm curious to see where we go from here with a la nina on the horizon for next year.
  2. I mean honestly, you even said that January wouldn't be all that great, mild to start and cold/possibly snowy to finish.... and according to the latest forecasts, it looks like that will work out well.
  3. is he still claiming his old screen name wasn't Tacoman? I doubt there's more than one person in Albuquerque who is so obsessed with hating the east coast so much lol. I saw what he said about your outlook-- funny that he had such specific commentary about it for someone who hasn't "read your outlook in years." I would also add narcissistic and obsessive to that list of words to describe him.
  4. That's what I saw when I read your outlook too, a normal winter in terms of snowfall and backloaded for snow in February.
  5. and the warm December in the east is no surprise, par for the course in el ninos.
  6. a good question is what would it take to get rid of that WPAC warm pool?
  7. That was in June and it was absolutely disgusting, we hit 500 the highest it can possibly ever be on the air quality index. The last couple of years we've had dry springs, which has been nice, lower humidity and less bugs. But the summers have been wet and very humid (after June.)
  8. He has a lot of anger for some reason.... reminds me of Stephen A with Cowboy fans? Maybe for the same reason? Maybe he had a girlfriend on the east coast who broke up with him? We can have a lot of fun with this....
  9. I think next year might be good too because of the la nina after el nino rule. Analogs like 95-96 and 10-11 come into play. I always thought he likes it when the east struggles because it favors where he lives.
  10. Wednesday could hit 60, especially now that it's forecasted to be sunny!
  11. This is GREAT-- I always LOVE these charts!!
  12. I feel dejavu with his annual threads, since they seem to be the same every season.
  13. Yep and we can also add in 1982-83 and 2015-16 as big dog analogs for what can happen in late January or February with a juiced up STJ timed right with an arctic shot at the most favorable time of year for snowfall.
  14. in 1994 NYC got to 0 on two separate arctic shots, I believe that's the first time that happened since the 1940s and of course it has not happened since. 3 total lows of 0 and below also the first time since the 1940s.
  15. It could be next year if not this year, la ninas after el ninos are really good too.
  16. Have the hope that in spite of what the 80s were like 82-83 still happened and February was the best snowstorm we had between 1978 and 1996! In both 1982-83 and 2015-16 the south shore of Long Island had over 20 inch HECS! As a matter of fact JFK has had most of its 20"+ snowstorms during moderate and strong or very strong el ninos. (February 1983, 2003 PD2, January 2016). The other ones were in February 1961, February 1969, January 1996. So 6 total 20"+ snowstorms going back to 1960 at JFK and half of them were in moderate or strong or very strong el ninos. Every decade had at least 1 20"+ HECS at JFK (and the 60s had 2!) except the 70s (and many will tell you that the February 1978 HECS was grossly undermeasured at JFK at 14"-- when a nearby co-op in SW Nassau recorded 22" in that blizzard!)
  17. Don do you think it's likely that February will be the coldest month this winter season? January at +0.7 will be much colder than December was and the February mean is only slightly milder than January, so it wouldn't take much for February to be colder than January.
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