LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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I was intuitively wondering about this Chris, since we had already had a blizzard in early January 2018 a month before the SSW happened.
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that indicates healthy active soil!
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2001-02 was such a classic, I wonder if it will ever be beaten spring and summer was so nice and warm to hot too
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ah I thought it was the Winter Severity Index (WSI), it would be interesting to see winters ranked that way alongside this
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you can see the migration of the SE ridge over several years with the warmest air heading to northern NE and the change of tropical cyclone tracks over the last few years
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at least it's dry and sunny and warm as opposed to the wet and mild we were getting in January
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no philly is inland, in 20-30 years we're going to be more like ACY. Probably 20, not even 30
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in new england (a completely different climate from ours) they are sheltered from it for awhile they won't see the big drop for decades.
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inland areas even south of us will do better with snowfall than we will, especially with elevation
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Chris can you show the top 5 at JFK too please? I'm confident 2002-03 is near the top of the list, as should 1960-61 be
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why do people care about Danbury lol? it's not the place to live to see a lot of snow
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There was no other triple dip la nina that was anything like this. The full snowfall record at JFK is alarming, 10 out of the last 35 winters have been under 10 inch snowfall. A winter like this is far more likely than the HECS 50" winters we have been talking about, and ENSO doesn't matter. Less than 10" snowfall winters are almost as likely as winters with 30" or more of snow.
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Good to see it will be sunny most of the time. I've started planting.
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a moment of silence, February 11-12 is peak snowfall season for us, some of our best HECS have occurred on these two days.
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The February storm where we had like 8 inches of snow and then heavy rain around VD. No 20 inch snowstorm which we need one to be an HECS, which makes winters like 95-96 and 02-03 superior to me.
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Wow that was our snowiest season on record until 1995-96
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what was JFK's low?
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I wonder if this will change if we create more green spaces which we are starting to do. The concrete needs to be trashed.
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I mean it was close, I'd say B+ maybe A-, but closer to B+ for three reasons (1- lots of mixed events here, 2- no HECS, 3- March disappointment.) For Philly and interior NJ A. I'm flexible on the three month 10+ snowfall thing, it's either that or two months of 20+ inches.
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Yeah if it had that HECS in March it would have done it and been the superior winter. I have three things I go by for an A winter: 1. At least three months with 10"+ inches of snow (or at least two months of 20"+ snow.) 2. At least 50" of snowfall for the season 3. At least one HECS (20"+) snowstorm.
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Not without an HECS. That was a nice B+ winter
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I look at that as an inland winter-- no other way for PHL to get 68" while NYC got 57"...I'm sure Long Island had less than that 02-03 was superior to that and had an HECS to boot.
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This would also require record historic blocking. Chris please include 02-03 and JFK in this too, that was our last wall to wall winter. How did 2013-14 exceed 1995-96 at PHL? That winter had zero HECS...was it an inland winter much like 93-94? Way more snow in PHL than we had here. I see 1922-23 in that list for NYC, was Feb 1923 when we had that record wintry precip event?
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The only time in my life where I thought a storm could pull off what those two storms did if it were all snow was December 1992. You actually had to experience it to fully realize how much of a beast that storm was for three days. If that storm had happened in February it may have topped all the other events we've talked about on this page. We were in the mid to upper 30s with heavy rain and high hurricane force winds for 3 days...the snow was so close to us. That would have been a 30-40 incher for sure if it had happened later in the season. The entire coast and city were wrecked during that storm. Regardless of how "great" the March 1993 "superstorm" was, the December 1992 meganoreaster was the real showstopper (and citystopper) of that season.
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If that was an all snow storm, it probably represents the ceiling or nearly the ceiling of what is possible here. The other one is February 1922 (I hope I got the year right) that was our largest winter precipitation event, which had nearly 20 inches of snow even though half the storm was sleet and freezing rain. I think it was around 5 inches of liquid equivalent. Even with a simple 10:1 ratio that's 50 inches of snow right there. Could be pushing 60 inches with air as cold as what we had in January 2016 here.
