Jump to content

LibertyBell

Members
  • Posts

    39,756
  • Joined

Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. won't be 1972-73 strong either. I like 2002-03 right now
  2. I'm hoping for something like 02-03, what are your thoughts on that, Ray? It's interesting that 1982 was mentioned since today is the 40th anniversary of the February 1983 blizzard when 2 feet of snow fell here, it was the benchmark storm of the 80s and the benchmark snowstorm of my youth. A great Cat 4 HECS.
  3. Sometimes I wonder if people confuse plausibility with plausible deniability lol
  4. meh if we get one 6 inch storm in March or even early April you'll have a more positive outlook and look forward to next winter. At this point I think you'll even settle for a March 2001 redux lol.
  5. Yeah that record can be broken I agree with that, just not in a 14-15 kind of set up here. 14-15 can get us to 50" just not the 80" we would need to get there. Historically we need 3 really good months so that's what I'm going to go with. With three months of 20"+ or even two months of 20"+ plus two other pretty good months we can do it. That basically gives us what we got in 95-96.....the only other thing we would need is to get rid of that nasty three week mild/rainy spell in the middle of January in 96. Do you know what we would need to make that happen? Historically ENSO accounts for only about 20% of our winter weather....but where it seems to exert its greatest influence is la ninas that come after el ninos. Note that 95-96, 10-11 and 17-18 were all la ninas..... 02-03 was our best el nino in recent times, we got almost 60" here.
  6. Yeah....you're not bright enough to realize I don't want to use it...especially when it comes to posting a dozen or more times in a row. I just weenied 15 of your posts, looks like I'm not the only one weenieing you either. Huge waste of time spending even a second on someone like you. Got anything else to say "bro"?
  7. Not extinct but not likely either. I do think 95-96 can be broken but it won't be in a 6 week pattern, it will have to happen over a three month period.
  8. Let's see if we can ever get that kind of consistent pattern again. I do think that record can be broken, in a wall to wall winter. NYC only got 0.8" in April I believe, so that amount doesn't matter...JFK had about 5" that was a coastal event.
  9. NYC record is close to 80" I don't believe this can be done in a 6 week period, in a wall to wall winter, it's possible. We would rather have a wall to wall anyway. But we are completely ignoring what's happened to the climate, I hope you realize that. It's like being on a completely different planet now, I would not be enthused about breaking those records, we need to be realistic.
  10. There's not that much of a difference between coastal NJ and Brooklyn and NYC.....if you look at late season patterns, I'd argue that Brooklyn and coastal NJ actually do better than NYC because of what you said before about colder water temps...vs Manhattan being much more urbanized. There's a few storms that prove this....April 1996 and April 1997 being near the top of the list. Still not historic but 10" is definitely possible late in the season.
  11. I'd look through past history and what happened in 10-11 and 17-18 and that pretty much maxes out what is possible in our region. Two twenty inch snowstorms plus a couple of moderate storms......we need to be realistic
  12. DC is much further inland...if you want to look for ideal patterns look at March 2018-April 2018....that is probably the best that can be done in the modern era that late in the season.
  13. The record is close to 80, I don't see that happening in a short time span...it's pretty much unprecedented and not part of our climate. Actually if you go back in history, our record is closer to 100" according to Ludlum.
×
×
  • Create New...